U.S. Hydropower Generation Set to Increase Despite Snow Drought Challenges
The U.S. Energy Information Administration's April Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) forecasts a 5% increase in U.S. hydropower generation in 2026, despite ongoing snow drought conditions in several states. This increase follows a rise in hydropower generation to 245 billion kilowatthours (BkWh) in 2025, up from a record low in 2024. The 2026 projection of 259 BkWh would account for 6% of U.S. electricity generation. Seasonal precipitation, including rain and snowpack, plays a crucial role in predicting water supply and hydropower output. However, record warm winter temperatures have led to snow droughts, particularly affecting California, the Southwest, and parts of the Northwest. These conditions are expected to impact water supply and hydropower generation in the spring and summer months. 
