Rising Tropical Development Chances in Eastern Pacific for Early June
The Eastern Pacific hurricane season, which began on May 15, has remained quiet so far, but conditions are becoming more favorable for tropical development. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has highlighted an area off the southwestern coast of Mexico with an increased probability of tropical activity between June 3 and June 9. Warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures, currently running 2–3°F above normal, are contributing to these conditions. Long-range models, including the GFS and ECMWF, also indicate potential development in this timeframe. Historically, the first named storm in the Eastern Pacific forms around June 10, making this activity consistent with seasonal trends.