Strait of Hormuz Closure: Impact on Crude Oil Prices Amid US-Iran Conflict
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to the US-Iran conflict has led to a significant oil supply disruption, with global oil supply falling by 13.6 million barrels per day. Despite this, crude oil prices have not spiraled out of control as expected. The Asian Development Bank reports that global inventories have been drawn down, and China's use of its domestic stockpiles has acted as a shock absorber. While spot prices surged, longer-dated futures rose less, indicating market adjustments. The situation remains fluid, with potential for further price volatility if the disruption continues.