NOAA Predicts Below-Average Atlantic Hurricane Season for 2026 Amid El Niño Influence
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released its 2026 hurricane season forecast, highlighting the influence of El Niño on global wind patterns. The Atlantic basin is expected to experience a below-average season, with predictions of 8 to 14 named storms, 3 to 6 hurricanes, and 1 to 3 major hurricanes. In contrast, the Eastern Pacific is forecasted to have an above-normal season, with 15 to 22 named storms, 9 to 14 hurricanes, and 5 to 9 major hurricanes. El Niño typically suppresses hurricane activity in the Atlantic by increasing wind shear, while enhancing activity in the Pacific. However, NOAA officials caution that even a less active season can still result in significant impacts, urging residents to prepare early. The first named storm of the season will be Arthur, and the official start date is June 1, 2026.