President Trump Signals Kevin Warsh as Top Contender for Federal Reserve Chair, Impacting Prediction Markets
President Trump has indicated that Kevin Warsh, a former governor of the U.S. Federal Reserve, is now a leading candidate to become the next chair of the Federal Reserve. This announcement has caused a significant shift in prediction markets, particularly on Kalshi, where Warsh's odds of being appointed surged from 15% to 40%. This development comes amid ongoing tensions between President Trump and the current Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, over interest rate policies. Trump has consistently advocated for lower interest rates and has expressed a desire for the Fed chair to consult with the president on rate policy. Other candidates for the position include current Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, as well as Rick Rieder from BlackRock, though their chances have diminished according to Kalshi.