Iran Conflict Expected to Create Oil Market Deficit in 2026
The ongoing conflict involving U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran has significantly impacted global oil production, leading analysts to predict a supply deficit in 2026. The war has disrupted flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical passageway for global oil consumption, and has resulted in production shut-ins and attacks on energy infrastructure. Analysts expect oil market demand to outpace supply by 750,000 barrels per day on average this year, a stark contrast to previous forecasts of a surplus. The International Energy Agency reports a reduction in oil supply by around 11 million barrels per day as of March, with further disruptions anticipated.