California Braces for 95% Likelihood of 'Super' El Niño
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has announced a 95% likelihood of a 'super' El Niño developing this year, with the potential to be the strongest since 1950. El Niño, a climate pattern characterized by warmer ocean waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific, has been intensifying over the past month. Experts predict this event could bring a wet and potentially destructive winter to California. Historical data shows that past strong El Niño events, such as those in 1982-83 and 1997-98, brought above-average rainfall to Southern California, though impacts can vary. NOAA forecasts a 69% chance that this El Niño will exceed the 4.5°F (2.5°C) temperature anomaly threshold, which has never been recorded in modern history. The effects of El Niño are expected to become more pronounced from December through March.