Alaska Governor's Race Shifts to 'Toss Up' Due to Republican Disunity and Ranked-Choice Voting
The election-forecasting website Sabato’s Crystal Ball has reclassified Alaska's gubernatorial race from 'Likely Republican' to 'Toss Up.' This significant shift occurred three days after the certification of the state’s primary election. The race now features Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins against Republicans Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Candice English. A primary factor cited for this change is Alaska's ranked-choice ballot system, which many Republicans oppose. The Crystal Ball site suggests that 'ballot exhaustion,' where supporters of Republican candidates do not rank other candidates, threatens Republican chances. Additionally, the website notes that the top three primary vote-getters—Kreiss-Tomkins, Wilson, and Bronson—are not proven statewide contenders in a general election, and English is even less known. The last Democrat elected governor in Alaska was Tony Knowles in 1998.