China's Factory Activity Contracts in July Amid Domestic Demand Slump
China's factory activity unexpectedly contracted in July 2026, marking the first decline since February. The official manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 49.2 from 50.3 in June, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. This drop below the 50-point threshold indicates a contraction in manufacturing activity. The decline was attributed to a slump in domestic orders and disruptions caused by typhoons. The new orders sub-index fell to 48.5, the lowest in 38 months. The contraction ended a four-month period of expansion, which had been supported by exporters rushing shipments ahead of U.S. tariff increases. The construction PMI also hit a record low of 47.0, and the services gauge fell to its weakest since the initial COVID-19 lockdowns. Despite these downbeat readings, firms' expectations for future output remained optimistic, anticipating stronger fiscal policy support.