SpaceX Falcon 9 Debris Predicted to Crash into Moon in August, Astronomer Warns
A discarded upper stage from a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket is expected to crash into the Moon on August 5, 2026. This prediction comes from independent astronomer Bill Gray, who uses his Project Pluto software to track near-Earth objects. The object, designated 2025-010D, is forecast to impact the lunar surface near the Einstein crater, located along the Moon's western limb. The debris is the 45-foot-tall upper stage of a Falcon 9 rocket launched in January 2025. At the time of impact, it is expected to be traveling at nearly 5,400 mph. While the collision will not be visible from Earth, scientists plan to study the aftermath using orbiting spacecraft like the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter.