Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Critiques Misuse of 'Emerging Technologies' in Strategic Discourse
The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace has highlighted a significant conceptual flaw in how 'emerging technologies' are discussed within strategic and security studies, particularly by organizations like NATO. According to the Endowment's analysis, the term is frequently misused, conflating genuinely emerging technologies with those that are already operational and deployed. This mischaracterization leads to a vocabulary that treats systems like the Russian Kinzhal hypersonic missile, which has been operationally deployed, in the same analytical category as speculative brain-computer interfaces. The Endowment argues that this broad and imprecise use of 'emerging technologies' functions as an 'analytical evasion,' allowing defense officials and scholars to defer critical questions regarding doctrine, deterrence, and regulation for technologies already in active use. The issue extends to various fields, including artificial intelligence, cyber capabilities, and counter-space systems, all of which hav...