Experts Warn of Rising Terrorism Threat in Africa Amid U.S. Military Pullback
The Center for Strategic and International Studies has released its annual risk analysis, highlighting a growing terrorism threat across Africa. The report, titled 'Global Terrorism Threat Assessment 2026,' identifies the increasing capabilities of al-Qaida and Islamic State affiliates as a significant concern. African terrorist groups are reportedly expanding their fighting forces and financial resources, and are utilizing advanced technologies such as unmanned aerial systems and artificial intelligence. Al Shabaab, a Somalia-based al-Qaida affiliate, is noted as the most capable terrorist organization in Africa, although it currently poses a low threat to the U.S. homeland. The report also highlights the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) as a rising power in the region. Despite these threats, the U.S. has reduced its military presence in Africa by 75%, creating intelligence gaps and limiting response capabilities.