Forecasters Predict Fewer Hurricanes in 2026, But Warn of High Destructive Potential
The National Hurricane Center has forecasted a slightly below-average number of storms for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, predicting 8 to 14 storms, with 3 to 6 expected to become hurricanes. Despite the lower number, the risk of large, destructive hurricanes remains high due to abnormally warm Atlantic waters. This warmth increases the likelihood of powerful storms, even if the total number of storms does not rise. The forecast also anticipates 1 to 3 major hurricanes, which could cause significant damage. The presence of a strong El Niño is expected to reduce hurricane activity in the Atlantic but not in the Pacific, where an above-average number of storms is anticipated. The National Weather Service emphasizes that even a single storm can have devastating inland impacts, as seen in past hurricanes.