Global Impacts Expected as El Niño Conditions Likely to Develop by Summer
El Niño conditions are expected to return in the coming months, with an 80% likelihood of forming between June and August 2026 and a 90% chance by November, according to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). This weather phenomenon, characterized by warming Pacific Ocean waters, is part of a recurring global cycle that significantly influences weather patterns worldwide. The WMO has indicated that sea-surface temperatures in the central-eastern equatorial Pacific are nearing El Niño thresholds, with atmospheric indicators also aligning. Forecasts suggest widespread impacts, including above-average temperatures across most regions and shifts in rainfall patterns. Wetter conditions are anticipated in the southern United States, southern South America, and parts of Africa and Asia, while drier conditions are expected in Central America, northern South America, Australia, and southern Asia. The event could also lead to increased cyclone activity in the Pacific and a quieter Atlantic hurricane season. UN...