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IMF Warns Middle East Conflict Elevates Global Financial Stability Risks

IMF Warns Middle East Conflict Elevates Global Financial Stability Risks

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a warning regarding the escalating financial stability risks posed by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. According to the IMF's semiannual Global Financial Stability Report, the war has led to significant inflationary pressures, primarily due to a spike in energy prices following Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This has resulted in an 8% decline in global equity prices and a sharp rise in sovereign bond yields. The IMF highlights that the conflict could lead to tighter funding markets, potentially straining non-banks, private credit, and borrowers in the artificial intelligence sector. The report also notes that hedge fund exposure to interest rate derivatives and sovereign bonds has more than doubled since 2020, reaching over $18 trillion by 2025.
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Wall Street rises toward the edge of its all-time high as oil prices ease

Wall Street rises toward the edge of its all-time high as oil prices ease

The U.S. stock market is nearing its all-time high, and oil prices are easing as hopes rise that the United States and Iran may try again on talks to end their war
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IMF slashes growth forecast for Middle East as Gulf exporters reel from impact of war

IMF slashes growth forecast for Middle East as Gulf exporters reel from impact of war

DUBAI, April 14 (Reuters) - The Middle East and North Africa region is expected to have a sharply slower growth this year as oil-exporting countries grapple with the fallout from the Iran war, the International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday.
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IMF cuts emerging economies' growth estimate as war darkens outlook

IMF cuts emerging economies' growth estimate as war darkens outlook

By Rodrigo Campos NEW YORK, April 14 (Reuters) - The IMF on Tuesday lowered its 2026 growth forecast for emerging market and developing economies to 3.9% from its view of 4.2% in January, with higher energy and food costs and uncertainty from the war in the Middle East expected to hurt more
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IMF Lowers Global Growth Forecast Due to Iran Conflict, Impacting U.S. Economy

IMF Lowers Global Growth Forecast Due to Iran Conflict, Impacting U.S. Economy

IMF Lowers Global Growth Forecast Due to Iran Conflict, Impacting U.S. Economy
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Citing fallout from the Iran war, IMF cuts the outlook for global growth, expects higher inflation

Citing fallout from the Iran war, IMF cuts the outlook for global growth, expects higher inflation

The Iran war has stalled the world’s economic momentum this year, likely pushing growth lower compared to 2025, the International Monetary Fund warned Tuesday
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IMF cuts growth outlook, warns of potential global recession if Iran war worsens

IMF cuts growth outlook, warns of potential global recession if Iran war worsens

By David Lawder WASHINGTON, April 14 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund cut its growth outlook on Tuesday due to Iran war-driven energy price spikes and supply disruptions and warned that the global economy would teeter on the brink of recession if the conflict worsens and oil stays above $
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IMF Warns Middle East Conflict Elevates Global Financial Risks

IMF Warns Middle East Conflict Elevates Global Financial Risks

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a warning about the financial stability risks posed by the ongoing war in the Middle East. The conflict has led to increased inflationary pressures, causing global equity prices to decline by 8% and sovereign bond yields to rise sharply. The IMF's Global Financial Stability Report highlights the potential for funding markets to tighten, which could strain non-banks and private credit sectors. The report also notes the increased exposure of hedge funds to interest rate derivatives and sovereign bonds, which has more than doubled since 2020. The IMF cautions that prolonged conflict could lead to financial instability, particularly affecting sectors reliant on artificial intelligence and private credit.
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Asian shares scale six-week peak on hopes for US-Iran peace talks

Asian shares scale six-week peak on hopes for US-Iran peace talks

By Stella Qiu SYDNEY, April 15 (Reuters) - Asian stocks tracked Wall Street higher on Wednesday as hopes for a resumption of U.S.-Iran peace talks pushed oil prices lower, while the dollar steadied after seven days of losses.
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UN Report Highlights Economic Fallout of US-Iran Conflict on Asia-Pacific Region

UN Report Highlights Economic Fallout of US-Iran Conflict on Asia-Pacific Region

The ongoing conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran is projected to have significant economic repercussions for the Asia-Pacific region, according to a United Nations report. The military escalation in the Middle East is expected to result in output losses ranging from $97 billion to $299 billion due to increased costs in transportation, electricity, and food. This economic strain could account for 0.3% to 0.8% of the region's GDP. The United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) also warns that the conflict could push 32 million people into poverty globally, with 8.8 million of those in the Asia-Pacific. The situation has been exacerbated by President Trump's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for maritime traffic to and from Iran's ports, following failed peace talks. The blockade has led to a severe oil crisis, driving up prices for crude and natural gas, and impacting economic growth projections.
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Long Iran war may require painful central bank tightening, IMF chief economist says

Long Iran war may require painful central bank tightening, IMF chief economist says

By David Lawder WASHINGTON, April 14 (Reuters) - Central banks may need to inflict much more economic pain to control inflation fueled by a long Middle East war than they did to control the spike in prices after the pandemic, the International Monetary Fund's chief economist said.
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China's exports set to lose momentum as Iran war undercuts AI-driven boom: Reuters poll

China's exports set to lose momentum as Iran war undercuts AI-driven boom: Reuters poll

BEIJING, April 13 (Reuters) - China's export engine likely slowed in March as buyers chasing an AI-fuelled future confront the hard reality of war https://www.reuters.com/world/iran/ in the Middle East, which has sparked an energy shock and revived market anxiety of past Gulf conflicts.