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Democrats Projected to Regain Control of the House Amid Republican Challenges

Democrats Projected to Regain Control of the House Amid Republican Challenges

Despite efforts by the Republican Party to maintain control through redistricting, prediction markets on Kalshi suggest that Democrats have an 84% chance of regaining control of the House of Representatives in the upcoming midterm elections. The prediction is based on a $22.8 million trading volume since 2024, with Democrats needing only a few additional seats to overcome the GOP's narrow margin. The Republican Party faces challenges, including 37 incumbents retiring and internal divisions following primary defeats of key figures. President Trump's declining approval ratings and ongoing international conflicts are also contributing to the Democrats' favorable outlook.
Reuters Reuters
Democratic socialism is poorly understood as Michigan contest looms, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

Democratic socialism is poorly understood as Michigan contest looms, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

By Jason Lange WASHINGTON, July 28 (Reuters) - American leftists aligned with the democratic socialist movement have been defeating moderate Democrats in primary elections this year but large swaths of the country still don't know what the movement stands for, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll.
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President Trump's Job Approval Hits Record Low Amidst Declining Support from Key Demographics

President Trump's Job Approval Hits Record Low Amidst Declining Support from Key Demographics

President Trump's job approval rating has reached a record low, according to a recent Economist/YouGov poll conducted from July 25 to 27, 2026. The poll indicates that only 34% of U.S. adult citizens strongly or somewhat approve of Trump's job performance, while a record 62% disapprove, resulting in a net job approval of -28. This decline in approval is driven by significant disapproval among Gen X, white Americans, and Independents. The poll reflects a broader trend of decreasing support for President Trump, marking a significant shift in public opinion compared to earlier in his presidency.
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Texas Governor Greg Abbott Faces Tight Race Against Democrat Gina Hinojosa

Texas Governor Greg Abbott Faces Tight Race Against Democrat Gina Hinojosa

Texas Governor Greg Abbott is in a closely contested gubernatorial race against Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa. Recent polls indicate that Abbott holds a narrow lead over Hinojosa, with a Texas Public Opinion Research poll showing Abbott at 45% and Hinojosa at 42%, with 10% of voters undecided. Abbott, a strong conservative and ally of President Trump, has been the governor since 2014 and is seeking a fourth term. Hinojosa, a lawyer and Texas House member since 2017, secured the Democratic nomination in March. The race is significant as Texas has not elected a Democratic governor since 1990, and Democrats are hopeful that changing demographics and political dynamics could favor them. Abbott's campaign benefits from high name recognition and substantial fundraising, with $106 million in the bank, compared to Hinojosa's $3 million.
USA Today USA Today
Poll says many back US arrest of Netanyahu, in line with Mamdani

Poll says many back US arrest of Netanyahu, in line with Mamdani

In the poll released this week, around 49% of Americans agreed that Netanyahu should be arrested if he visited the U.S. based on the ICC warrant.
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Nevada Governor Joe Lombardo Endorses David Flippo for Congress, Aims to Strengthen Republican Hold

Nevada Governor Joe Lombardo Endorses David Flippo for Congress, Aims to Strengthen Republican Hold

Nevada Governor Joe Lombardo has endorsed retired United States Air Force Lieutenant Colonel David Flippo for Congress in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District. This endorsement is part of a broader effort to maintain Republican control in the U.S. House of Representatives. Lombardo highlighted Flippo's alignment with key priorities for Nevadans, such as expanding housing, reducing costs for families, and ensuring rural representation. Flippo expressed gratitude for the endorsement, emphasizing a united Republican front against Democratic opponent Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The endorsement also aligns Flippo with other prominent Republican figures, including President Trump and House leaders.
Rolling Stone Rolling Stone
Does the Socialist Surge Doom Democrats?

Does the Socialist Surge Doom Democrats?

DSA candidates are winning elections across the country. It might be time to start asking what they actually believe
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Pennsylvania Emerges as Key Battleground in Midterm Elections

Pennsylvania Emerges as Key Battleground in Midterm Elections

With 100 days until the midterm elections, Pennsylvania has become a focal point for both Democrats and Republicans. House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries has launched the 'Fighting for an Affordable America' campaign in the state's 7th Congressional District, aiming to win back the House by focusing on reducing living costs and holding President Trump accountable. The campaign is part of a broader Democratic strategy to address economic concerns and healthcare funding. Meanwhile, Republicans, supported by President Trump, are defending their narrow majority, with Rep. Ryan Mackenzie seeking reelection. Both parties are investing heavily in the state, recognizing its potential to influence the balance of power in Congress.
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Vice President JD Vance Leads Early in 2028 Republican Primary Amid Trump's Influence

Vice President JD Vance Leads Early in 2028 Republican Primary Amid Trump's Influence

Vice President JD Vance is currently leading the 2028 Republican presidential primary race with 37% support among likely Republican primary voters, significantly ahead of Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who has 20%. Donald Trump Jr. and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis trail behind with 9% and 7% respectively. The survey highlights the influence of the 'MAGA' coalition, with Vance receiving 49% support from self-identified MAGA voters. The poll also tested the impact of a hypothetical endorsement from President Trump, showing that his support could significantly alter the race dynamics, favoring either Vance or Rubio depending on the endorsement.
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Scott Perry Faces Rematch in Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District Amid Democratic Favor

Scott Perry Faces Rematch in Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District Amid Democratic Favor

Scott Perry, a Republican politician from Pennsylvania, is running for re-election in the 10th Congressional District. He is facing a rematch against Janelle Stelson, a former television news anchor, whom he narrowly defeated in the previous election. The political environment currently favors Democrats, with polls indicating a lead in House elections. Despite this, Perry remains a notable figure in the upcoming midterm elections. The Democrats need to gain three seats to take control of the House, and Pennsylvania is home to several key races. The 10th District is one of the prominent Democratic targets, with Perry's previous victory margin being about one percentage point.
Reuters Reuters
Trump administration asks Supreme Court to allow mail-in ballot restrictions

Trump administration asks Supreme Court to allow mail-in ballot restrictions

By Andrew Chung July 27 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's administration asked the U.S. Supreme Court on Monday to allow implementation nationwide of his executive order aimed at tightening rules for mail-in voting ahead of the November midterm elections that will decide ‌control of Congress.
Palm Beach Post Palm Beach Post
Which House races are toss-ups in the midterms? One is in FL

Which House races are toss-ups in the midterms? One is in FL

Polls show that Trump has a low approval rating and Dems hold edge with voters. What races should you watch in Florida for the midterms? See toss-ups.