Thailand's Insurance Regulator Uses Middle East Conflict for Stress Test Scenario
Thailand's Office of the Insurance Commission (OIC) is implementing a stress test for life and non-life insurance companies, focusing on geopolitical risks, particularly the ongoing Middle East conflict. This test aims to evaluate the insurance industry's resilience to severe scenarios that could impact Thailand's financial stability. The OIC's approach includes assessing the potential effects of rising global energy prices, energy security uncertainties, and disruptions to international supply chains. These factors are expected to increase production costs across various industries and slow global economic activity and investment. The stress test scenario also considers an economic recession, characterized by declining per capita income, high inflation, and a slowdown in tourism and exports. The OIC's goal is to strengthen the Thai insurance system against global economic uncertainties and geopolitical factors.