Below-Normal Hurricane Activity Expected for 2026 Season
The 2026 hurricane season is anticipated to be quieter than usual, with forecasts from Colorado State University predicting 13 named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. This outlook is influenced by the expected emergence of El Niño conditions, which typically increase wind shear in the Atlantic basin, disrupting cyclone formation. Additionally, cooler water temperatures in the eastern and central Atlantic may further limit storm intensity and lifespan. Historically, an average season sees 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes, making this year's forecast notably subdued. The probability of a major hurricane making landfall in the U.S. is estimated at 32%, below the long-term average of 43%. 
