Super El Niño Influences 2026 Hurricane Season in Atlantic and Pacific
A powerful 'super El Niño' is shaping the 2026 hurricane season, with significant impacts on both the Atlantic and Pacific basins. El Niño, characterized by warmer-than-average ocean temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific, has already surpassed the 2°C (3.6°F) threshold to be classified as 'super.' This phenomenon is expected to become the strongest El Niño on record later this year. In the Atlantic, the increased wind shear and dry air associated with El Niño are suppressing tropical cyclone formation, particularly over the Caribbean and Central Atlantic. Conversely, the Pacific is experiencing heightened activity, with two Category 5 storms—Hurricane Genevieve and Super Typhoon Dolphin—already recorded this season. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center has indicated that tropical cyclone formation in the Atlantic is unlikely in the near term (source: NOAA, July 28, 2026).