Super El Niño Expected to Influence US Wildfire Risks
A strong El Niño event is developing, with the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicting a greater than 90% chance of a 'very strong' El Niño during the fall and winter of 2026-27. This phenomenon, part of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), is characterised by warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific, which can significantly alter global weather patterns. According to meteorologist Chad Merrill, this El Niño is expected to bring above-average precipitation to regions such as California, the Great Basin, the Southwest, the southern Plains, and parts of the Southeast and East Coast. However, northern areas like Montana, the Dakotas, and the Great Lakes may experience drier conditions, potentially increasing wildfire risks. The event is expected to strengthen through the end of 2026, with its effects possibly lingering into the summer of 2027. (Source time: not specified)