U.S. Population Projected to Grow by 21.5 Million by 2040, Driven by Texas and Florida
The U.S. population is projected to increase by 21.5 million people between 2025 and 2040, reaching a total of 363.3 million, according to data from the University of Virginia’s Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service. This represents a 6.3% growth. A significant portion of this growth, 51.9%, will be concentrated in just two states: Texas and Florida, which are expected to add a combined 11.2 million residents. Texas is projected to gain 6,559,670 residents, and Florida is anticipated to add 4,621,619 residents. Conversely, 14 states are projected to experience population decline, with Illinois leading the losses at -649,689 people, followed by New York at -456,879. The South as a region is expected to account for 77.7% of the total U.S. growth, adding 16.7 million people, while the West will add 4.7 million. The Northeast and Midwest combined are projected to gain only 146,838 people.