Cook Political Report Shifts Texas Representative Monica De La Cruz's Re-election Race to Toss-Up
The Cook Political Report has reclassified the re-election campaign for U.S. Representative Monica De La Cruz (R-TX) in Texas' 15th congressional district from 'Lean Republican' to a 'Toss Up'. This shift is based on recent public and private polling data indicating that Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido, a Tejano singer-songwriter, has either drawn even with De La Cruz or taken a lead. The district, which previously favored Republicans, voted for President Trump by 18 points in 2024 and three points in 2020. De La Cruz secured re-election in 2022 by a 14-point margin. However, the 2025 redistricting effort has significantly altered the district, with nearly 60% of it being new to De La Cruz. High Democratic enthusiasm, partly fueled by a competitive Senate race, is also contributing to Pulido's momentum. De La Cruz has also faced challenges in consolidating support among Republicans and conservative-leaning independents, partly due to Pulido's celebrity status which has garnered him cross-party support.