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El Niño Expected to Intensify, Impacting 2026 Hurricane Season

El Niño Expected to Intensify, Impacting 2026 Hurricane Season

El Niño, a naturally occurring weather phenomenon, is developing faster than anticipated, with an 82% likelihood of emerging between May and July 2026, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). This weather cycle, characterized by weakened Pacific trade winds and warmer sea-surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, is expected to influence global weather patterns, including the Atlantic hurricane season. Experts, including Phil Klotzbach from Colorado State University, suggest that a strong El Niño could form by mid to late June, potentially reducing hurricane activity in the Atlantic Basin. Historically, strong El Niño events disrupt hurricane formation by increasing wind shear and introducing dry air into the tropical regions of the Caribbean and Atlantic. Current Atlantic sea-surface temperatures are slightly above normal but not excessively warm, which may further enhance El Niño's suppressive effects on hurricanes.
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NOAA to Release 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

NOAA to Release 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is set to release its official 2026 Atlantic hurricane season forecast on Thursday, May 21, at 11 a.m. ET. The announcement will take place at the NOAA Aircraft Operations Center in Lakeland, Florida. The forecast will provide insights into expected hurricane activity for the Atlantic, central Pacific, and eastern Pacific basins. Early predictions suggest a slightly below-average Atlantic season, influenced by a developing El Niño, which typically suppresses hurricane activity in the Atlantic while increasing it in the Pacific. A typical Atlantic season averages 14 tropical storms, with seven becoming hurricanes. The forecast will also consider sea-surface temperatures, which are currently above normal in many regions.
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NOAA to Release 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Amid El Niño Concerns

NOAA to Release 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Amid El Niño Concerns

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is set to release its official 2026 Atlantic hurricane season forecast on Thursday, May 21, 2026, at 11 a.m. ET during a news conference at the NOAA Aircraft Operations Center in Lakeland, Florida. This forecast will provide insights into the expected activity for the Atlantic, central, and eastern Pacific hurricane seasons. Early predictions from Colorado State University suggest a below-average Atlantic season, with six hurricanes anticipated, two of which may reach Category 3 or higher. Key factors influencing the forecast include sea-surface temperatures, the development of the El Niño pattern, and atmospheric conditions. Historically, the Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, with an average of 14 tropical storms and seven hurricanes annually. El Niño, which is currently developing, is expected to suppress hurricane activity in the Atlantic while potentially increasing activity in the Pacific.
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NOAA to Release 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast on May 21

NOAA to Release 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast on May 21

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is set to release its official forecast for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season on Thursday, May 21, at 11 a.m. ET during a news conference at the NOAA Aircraft Operations Center in Lakeland, Florida. This forecast will provide insights into the expected activity for the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30, as well as for the central and eastern Pacific hurricane seasons. Early predictions from private forecasters have suggested a slightly below-average Atlantic season, influenced by a combination of warm ocean temperatures and a developing El Niño. Historically, an average season includes 14 tropical storms, with seven intensifying into hurricanes. NOAA's forecast will also address the potential impacts of El Niño, which typically suppresses Atlantic hurricane activity while increasing activity in the Pacific.
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Companies join a deep-sea mining rush after Trump executive order, as regulators fast-track permits

Companies join a deep-sea mining rush after Trump executive order, as regulators fast-track permits

Since President Donald Trump signed an executive order to create a deep-sea mining industry, businesses have raised millions from investors, and stock prices have soared
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Trump’s push for deep-sea mining spawns new companies and fast-tracked rules

Trump’s push for deep-sea mining spawns new companies and fast-tracked rules

Since President Donald Trump signed an executive order to create a deep-sea mining industry, businesses have raised millions from investors, and stock prices have soared
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Atlantic Hurricane Season Expected to Intensify Starting June

Atlantic Hurricane Season Expected to Intensify Starting June

The Atlantic hurricane season, which typically spans from June to November, is expected to ramp up soon, according to Dr. Jason Senkbeil, a geography professor at The University of Alabama. Dr. Senkbeil, whose expertise includes atmospheric hazards and applied climatology, highlighted that 97% of hurricanes occur during this period. His research focuses on the dynamics of hurricanes, tornadoes, and climate change trends, providing valuable insights into the formation and progression of these storms. The Pacific hurricane season has already begun, but the Atlantic side, which affects Alabama and other southeastern U.S. states, is poised to see increased activity in the coming weeks. This period is critical for residents in hurricane-prone areas to prepare for potential impacts.
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The Latest: Officers who faced Jan. 6 rioters sue to block payouts from ‘anti-weaponization’ fund

The Latest: Officers who faced Jan. 6 rioters sue to block payouts from ‘anti-weaponization’ fund

Two police officers who helped defend the U.S. Capitol from an attack by a mob of President Donald Trump’s supporters have sued to block anyone from receiving payouts from a new nearly $1.8 billion settlement fund for people who claim to be victims of politically motivated prosecutions
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US Weather Forecasts at Risk Amid Budget Cuts and AI Challenges

US Weather Forecasts at Risk Amid Budget Cuts and AI Challenges

The United States is facing potential challenges in weather forecasting reliability due to budget cuts and shifts in data collection strategies under the Trump administration. According to The Guardian, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has implemented artificial intelligence (AI)-powered models to enhance forecasting efficiency. However, these models rely heavily on historical data and have shown limitations in predicting extreme weather events, which are becoming more frequent due to climate change. Experts warn that reductions in NOAA's budget, including a 40% overall cut, have led to scaled-back satellite and weather balloon launches, as well as diminished ocean buoy networks. These reductions coincide with the anticipated impacts of a 'super El Niño,' which is expected to drive record-breaking heat and potentially increase hurricane activity. NOAA plans to release its 2026 Atlantic hurricane season outlook later this week.
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100% Chance of 'Super' El Niño Predicted for 2026, Impacting U.S. Weather Patterns

100% Chance of 'Super' El Niño Predicted for 2026, Impacting U.S. Weather Patterns

The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has released its May long-range forecast, indicating a 100% probability of a strong 'Super' El Niño forming by November 2026. This phenomenon is expected to significantly influence global weather patterns, including suppressed hurricane activity in the Atlantic and increased precipitation across the southern United States during the fall and winter months. The forecast also highlights above-average Atlantic water temperatures and near-normal tropical activity near the U.S. mainland. While the Atlantic Main Development Region is predicted to experience below-average tropical activity, the Eastern Pacific may see heightened storm activity. The FOX Forecast Center notes that this early prediction of a strong El Niño could make it a historic event, with potential long-term implications for climate and weather systems.
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Concerns Over U.S. Weather Forecast Reliability Amid Data Cuts

Concerns Over U.S. Weather Forecast Reliability Amid Data Cuts

Recent budget cuts under the Trump administration have raised concerns about the reliability of U.S. weather forecasts, particularly as the country faces an increase in extreme weather events. According to The Guardian, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has implemented artificial intelligence (AI)-powered weather models to improve forecasting speed and accuracy. However, experts warn that these models require extensive and accurate data to function effectively. Budget reductions have reportedly impacted NOAA's data collection capabilities, including satellite operations, weather balloon launches, and ocean buoy networks. While NOAA maintains that a wealth of weather data is still being collected daily, critics argue that the cuts could hinder the agency's ability to predict extreme weather events accurately. This comes at a time when the U.S. is preparing for a potentially severe hurricane season and record-breaking heat due to a predicted 'super El Niño.'
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A humanitarian aid ship from Mexico docks in Havana as US-Cuba tensions escalate

A humanitarian aid ship from Mexico docks in Havana as US-Cuba tensions escalate

A ship carrying humanitarian aid from Mexico and Uruguay has arrived in Havana to help ease Cuba’s spiriling crises