The dollar index slipped to a three-month low earlier this week before recovering slightly to 96.73 on Wednesday (September 17).
Brent crude futures were down 0.2% at $68.33 per barrel, offering further relief to the rupee.
Investors are awaiting the outcome of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, where a 25-basis-point rate cut is widely expected. Market participants are also watching Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on the pace of future cuts.
“USD/INR is expected to remain volatile, supported by a softer dollar and RBI stance. However, medium-term risks remain due to external pressures and policy uncertainty,” said Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director, Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP.
Amit Pabari, Managing Director, CR Forex Advisors, noted that the weak-dollar environment has given the rupee some breathing space.
“Near-term, the rupee is likely to face resistance around 88.20. A decisive break below 87.90 could open the way toward 87.50 and, if momentum continues, 87.20,” he said.
-With PTI inputs