Kansas City (5-3) at Buffalo (5-2)
Sunday 4:25 p.m. EST, CBS
BetMGM NFL Odds: Chiefs by 1 1/2
Against the spread: Chiefs 5-3; Bills 3-4
Series record: Bills lead 30-26-1
Last meeting: Chiefs beat Bills 32-29 in AFC championship game in Kansas City on Jan. 26.
Last week: Chiefs beat Commanders 28-7 at home. Bills beat Panthers 40-9 at Carolina.
Chiefs offense: overall (5), rush (9), pass (5), scoring (7).
Chiefs defense: overall (4), rush (11), pass (3), scoring
(2).
Bills offense: overall (3), rush (1), pass (15), scoring (4).
Bills defense: overall (12), rush (31), pass (2), scoring (9).
Turnover differential: Chiefs plus-5; Bills plus-2;
QB Patrick Mahomes. As if it could be anyone else. The two-time NFL MVP is playing like a third trophy could be in the case by the end of the season. Mahomes has eclipsed 250 yards passing each of the past five games, and he's thrown at least three TD passes in four of them. But perhaps most surprising has been the way he's used his legs. Mahomes is the Chiefs' second-leading rusher with 280 yards to go with four touchdowns on the ground.
DE Michael Hoecht. The do-it-all defensive lineman was in on three tackles and had 1 1/2 sacks while playing 66% of Buffalo’s defensive snaps in his Bills debut last week. This is the type of impact Buffalo envisioned upon signing Hoecht in March, while aware the fifth-year player was going to miss the first six games serving an NFL suspension. Hoecht fills a hybrid role in which he has the diverse skills to play on the end, inside and fill in at linebacker.
James Cook vs. Chiefs run defense. Buffalo’s fourth-year running back is coming off a career game after racking up 216 yards and two TDs against Carolina. So far, the only way Cook’s been contained is by virtue of coordinator Joe Brady’s play-calling by not getting the running back involved enough. Cook ranks second in the NFL with 753 yards rushing, and Buffalo is 4-0 when he tops 100 yards, and is 5-0 in games he scores. The Chiefs have won three straight in which they’ve held each opponent to under 100 yards rushing.
Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco (knee) missed practice this week. LG Trey Smith practiced after missing last week's game with a back injury. ... Bills DT DaQuan Jones (calf) and WR Joshua Palmer (knee/ankle) are questionable. Starting LBs Terrel Bernard (ankle) and Matt Milano (pectoral) have resumed full practices and are in position to return this week.
There’s plenty of history between two original AFL franchises in a series that began in 1960, when the Chiefs were based in Dallas and known as the Texans. This marks the 10th time the teams meet since 2020, with Buffalo going 4-1 in regular-season outings, and KC sweeping four playoff meetings, including two in the AFC championship game. The Chiefs hold a 5-2 edge in the postseason, including a 31-7 win in the 1966 AFL championship game in determining which team would compete in the first Super Bowl.
Both teams have top-five offenses with the Bills third at 382.9 yards and the Chiefs fifth at 378.3. ... Kansas City has won four of its past five after an 0-2 start. ... The Chiefs have scored at least 28 points in each of their past five games. The only time they were held under 20 was in a 20-17 loss to the Super Bowl champion Eagles. ... TE Travis Kelce has 83 TDs. He needs one more to break a tie with Priest Holmes for the Chiefs record. ... Kelce has caught a pass in 182 straight games, the longest streak in Chiefs history and the longest active streak in the NFL. ... Chiefs DT Chris Jones has only two sacks through the first eight games. ... Mahomes is tied for the NFL lead with 17 TD passes this season. He has 46 games with at least three TD passes, tied with Dan Marino for the NFL record for a player in his first nine seasons. ... Chiefs WR Rashee Rice has at least five catches in 11 of his past 12 games. ... Chiefs DE Mike Danna had his first career interception last week against the Commanders. ... Bills coach Sean McDermott is 5-5 overall against Chiefs coach Andy Reid, his former mentor. McDermott broke into the NFL in 1999 on Reid’s staff with the Eagles, and eventually spent 2009 and 2010 as Philadelphia’s defensive coordinator. ... McDermott ranks second on the Bills coaching list with 98 wins (including playoffs), behind Hall of Famer Marv Levy (123). ... QB Josh Allen improved to 36-7 when not committing a turnover last weekend. He’s 45-29 when throwing an interception or losing a fumble, including 1-2 this season. ... Allen has a 4-1 regular-season record against the Chiefs, and combined to go 106 of 175 for 1,261 yards with 10 TDs and three interceptions, and added 220 yards rushing, with three TDs. ... Allen’s 77 touchdowns rushing, including playoffs, are tied with Cam Newton for the NFL record among quarterbacks. ... Buffalo converted 7 of 12 third down opportunities against Carolina, its best showing since going 9 of 15 in a 30-21 win over KC in November. ... Buffalo is 5-1 this season when scoring on its game-opening drive in having combined for five touchdowns and a field goal. ... Buffalo’s seven sacks against Carolina were the team’s most since generating nine in a 37-3 win over Washington in September 2023.
With Pacheco nursing a knee injury, rookie Brashard Smith and veteran Kareem Hunt are in line to get additional duties against a defense that’s allowed 130 or more yards rushing four times this season.
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