LSU football's Week 11 contest vs. Texas could be a low-scoring affair. With the OVER/UNDER currently sitting at 46.5 points, it's the lowest pregame total for an LSU game in 2026.
The number is no surprise given the strength of both defenses. Texas' defense is arguably the best in the country, and LSU's unit isn't far behind. Per ESPN's SP+ rankings, Texas is No. 4 and LSU is No. 9. However, Texas ranks No. 1 in several key stats, like adjusted EPA/play allowed.
At the same time, both of these offenses have question marks. Texas QB Arch Manning and LSU QB Sam Leavitt are both talented and capable of making all the throws, but inconsistency has been a theme for both in 2026.
LSU is favored by 3.5 points. With that total, Vegas is expecting an LSU win
with a projected score of 23-20.
LSU's defense surrendered 31 points to Alabama last week, but LSU's offense and special teams gave the Crimson Tide favorable field position. That point total doesn't reflect how well LSU's defense played.
The Longhorns' defense has allowed only 23 combined points over its last two games, but LSU's offense is better than Mississippi State's and Missouri's.
If this turns out to be low-scoring like Vegas expects, an explosive play or turnover could be the difference maker. The margin for error will be slim for both squads.
This article originally appeared on LSU Wire: LSU vs. Texas Odds: Why Week 11 Over/Under Is LSU's Lowest Total of 2026
