Florida football made a statement in the Swamp on Saturday with a 52-28 victory over the Ole Miss Rebels, marking the program's first 4-0 start since 2019. With the win, the Gators moved up in ESPN's Football Power Index rankings into the top 10 while also making vast improvements in some of the other metrics.
The FPI measures team strength and is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance for the rest of the season; it shows how many points above or below average a team is. Each team is assigned a rating that measures its true strength on a net points scale as well as expected point margin versus an average opponent on a neutral field.
Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the season using FPI and the schedule. Here
is a look at how Florida's numbers shake out after Week 4's results.
Where Florida football ranks in ESPN's FPI after Week 4
Florida moved up six spots to No. 10 in ESPN's FPI rankings after the Week 4 win, and its rating improved by 2.9 points to 19.3. Sumrall and Co. now sit between No. 9 Oregon (21.7) and No. 11 Tennessee (18.2) in the standings.
The FPI now projects the Gators to finish this fall's regular-season schedule with a 9.0-3.2 record and with an improved 0.9% chance of winning out — up from the 0.1% chance they had before. Florida's chances of finishing with six wins are up from 92.3% to a now near-certain 99.2%, while the odds of winning the conference increased by 3.3% to 6.4%.
The Gators jumped from 26.2% to a 48.9% chance of making the College Football Playoff, along with a 5.8% chance of reaching the national championship game and a 2.2% chance of bringing home the national title — improvements of 3.0% and 1.2%, respectively.
Football Power Index top 25 rankings after Week 4
- Georgia Bulldogs
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish
- Ohio State Buckeyes
- Texas Longhorns
- Miami Hurricanes
- Alabama Crimson Tide
- Indiana Hoosiers
- LSU Tigers
- Oregon Ducks
- Florida Gators
- Tennessee Volunteers
- Utah Utes
- Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Nebraska Cornhuskers
- Penn State Nittany Lions
- Texas A&M Aggies
- BYU Cougars
- USC Trojans
- Ole Miss Rebels
- Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Oklahoma Sooners
- Pittsburgh Panthers
- Michigan Wolverines
- Auburn Tigers
- Iowa Hawkeyes
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This article originally appeared on Gators Wire: Florida leaps into Football Power Index top 10 after beating Ole Miss
