Welcome to Week 4. And what a start it's been for this week of picks. On Thursday, I hit on two of three anytime touchdown predictions for Steelers-Browns, including a long-shot Darnell Washington pick.
That would have been a win enough on its own, but Quinshon Judkins also reached the end zone for his first touchdown of the season to give me more confidence and positive momentum going into Sunday. Here's a look at my favorite anytime touchdown scorer picks for each game.
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Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Commanders (London)
Tyler Warren (+165)
Only one team has allowed more touchdowns to tight ends this season than the Commanders, who show up on the schedule at a perfect time for Warren. His involvement in Indy's offense has increased with each game,
up to a season-high nine catches on 10 targets last week.
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
Mack Hollins (+290)
I also like Rhamondre Stevenson's (+150) potential to score as a pass catcher in this matchup, though it's never easy predicting which Pats back will reap the benefits of a good drive. As the team's top receiver with A.J. Brown out, I like this value on Hollins in a game New England may be forced to pass a lot.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals
Bhayshul Tuten (+100)
Tuten has simply been consistent for Jacksonville. He's riding a two-game touchdown streak that I feel good about his chances to extend.
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Matthew Golden (+210)
Christian Watson (+155) has been outstanding this year, but Golden has quietly received more targets and hit two milestones last year with his first career 100-yard game and regular-season touchdown. The different ways he can be utilized in this offense gives him a good chance to find the end zone again in Tampa.
Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens
Zay Flowers (+130)
Flowers didn't appear to lose much of a step in his return to Baltimore's lineup last week. Expect his involvement to increase even more Sunday.
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles
Davante Adams (+115)
I know Puka Nacua (+135) is expected back but how can you not ride the hot hand after Adams just torched Patrick Surtain and the Broncos for 137 yards -- as a follow to his 195-yard, two-touchdown performance against the Giants.
Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants
Jeremiyah Love (-135)
Love is the safest pick here as a dual-threat out the backfield, although wide receivers Malik Nabers (+195) and Michael Wilson (+220) each have good matchups if you want to put some faith in the quarterbacks.
New York Jets at Chicago Bears
D'Andre Swift (-180)
Move over Case Keenum, it's Tyson Bagent's turn to play seat-warmer for Caleb Williams. But the one constant that should continue to carry over game-to-game is Swift's usage. Just make sure to monitor his injury status ahead of this one.
Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans
George Pickens (+165)
CeeDee Lamb was again Dallas' leading receiver last week, but Pickens actually led the team with 11 targets. His ball skills will be especially useful in trying to score against a physical Houston secondary.
Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings
Aaron Jones (-165)
I don't love taking odds this short on Jones, but they do represent my level of confidence in his ability to succeed in this matchup. No team has allowed more combined rushing/receiving touchdowns to running backs than Miami. And Jones is a threat to do it both ways.
Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers
George Kittle (+160)
Kittle is on a tear right now with 80-plus receiving yards in each of his last two games and a combined three touchdowns.
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders
Brock Bowers (+185)
Bowers made his return with a vengeance last week, catching 10 of 14 targets for 116 yards and a touchdown. Expect Kirk Cousins to continue spamming the ball his direction.
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks
Emanuel Wilson (+135)
But only because Jadarian Price is currently off the board with his status in the air. Seattle will lean on Wilson if their starting back is out.
Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers (Sunday Night Football)
Darren Waller (+270)
Throw Jahmyr Gibbs (-340) in any parlays, but Waller is a good standalone pick, even after letting me down last week. Although he failed to score in Carolina's loss to Cleveland, he did see an increased snap count and set season highs with five catches on eight targets. This is another good matchup for his return to the end zone.
This article originally appeared on For The Win: NFL Week 4 anytime touchdown scorer predictions
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