Week 9 was another good week for NFL survivor players. The upsets that spoiled so many early-season pools were absent, as betting favorites went 14-1.
That includes the Seahawks and Lions, who were the two most popular picks in Circa's survivor contest, and the Chiefs and Giants -- my most likely and most strategic picks to win, respectively.
Moving along, that hit rate doesn't seem likely to last in Week 10, as six different teams are favored by at least 3.5 points on the road. These are my favorites picks of the week.
The Week 10 survivor pick most likely to win
- Jacksonville Jaguars (at Tennessee Titans)
The other options this week are the Chiefs, Texans, Seahawks and Bills, but like Jacksonville, they're all playing on the road. The Jaguars get the edge -- even against a divisional opponent -- because they had more time to rest
and prepare after last playing on a Thursday. Also, it helps that Tennessee is arguably the worst opponent of all these teams.
Record: 6-3
The most strategic Week 10 survivor pick
- Indianapolis Colts (vs. Miami Dolphins)
Even at 2-7 and riding a five-game losing streak into a busy trade deadline, the Colts find themselves as four-point favorites because of the latest injury on the Miami side, to quarterback Malik Willis. With Kyle McCord making his first career start in Willis's place, this is a good spot to take a disappointing but not completely bad Colts team and feel good about coming out on the right side.
Record: 7-2
My Week 10 survivor pick
- Colts
Following my own strategic advice has worked out the last two weeks, so I'm sticking to the script and going with Indy. The vibes probably aren't too high with this team, but they're home and it's not like the Dolphins have much to be excited about either. Even after a fire sale at the trade deadline, Indy still has more proven talent across its roster. If nothing else, handing the ball off to Jonathan Taylor should give them a good shot at winning.
Record: 7-2
Already used: Jaguars, Eagles, Lions, Packers, Cowboys, 49ers, Texans, Commanders, Giants
This article originally appeared on For The Win: NFL survivor pool Week 10 picks: Jonathan Taylor might be all the Colts need
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