With just two weeks remaining in the regular season, the postseason picture is starting to come into focus. Unfortunately, for the Oregon Ducks, it's starting to get pretty complicated if you're looking for a path to the College Football Playoff, and that's reflected in the latest odds from ESPN's Football Power Index.
The Ducks can get in either through a win in the Big Ten Championship Game or a spot as an at-large bid, though neither path is straightforward. Oregon needs the Indiana Hoosiers to lose one of their final two games in order to get a spot in the conference title game, or they need a handful of losses from teams like BYU, Texas Tech, Tennessee, and Wake Forest over the final two weeks.
It certainly won't be easy.
Going into the weekend,
Oregon had a 24.9% chance to make the playoff, but that number jumped to 27.0% after the win. However, they have the 14th-best odds in the nation to make the playoffs, per ESPN's FPI.
Here's a look at the new ESPN FPI numbers and what they mean for the Ducks.
Week 12 at Michigan State Spartans
Oregon Percent Chance to Win, Per ESPN FPI: 86.4%
Previous FPI Win Percentage: 84.4%
Analysis: This is a short week road trip for the Ducks, which is not always easy to navigate, but fortunately, Oregon will be facing a Michigan State team that is near the bottom of the Big Ten conference rankings and shouldn't pose much of a threat. The Ducks are favored by two touchdowns in this game, so as long as they can take care of business, a win is expected.
Week 13 vs. Washington Huskies
Oregon Percent Chance to Win, Per ESPN FPI: 87.0%
Previous FPI Win Percentage: 86.7%
Analysis: Washington may not be playing for much in this game, but Oregon could potentially be trying to keep its season alive, whether that be in the race for a spot in the Big Ten Championship game or an at-large bid into the College Football Playoff. The Huskies have been struggling mightily this season, so the Ducks should be favored by quite a bit going into this game.
Oregon Ducks Season Outlook
Percent Chance to Win Out: 65.7%
Previous FPI %: 50.5%
Percent Chance to Win Conference: 12.5%
Previous FPI %: 16.0%
Percent Chance to Make College Football Playoff: 27.0%
Previous FPI %: 24.9%
Percent Chance to Make National Championship: 2.3%
Previous FPI %: 2.0%
Percent Chance to Win National Championship: 0.9%
Previous FPI %: 0.8%
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This article originally appeared on Ducks Wire: Oregon Ducks on outside of CFP looking in, per ESPN FPI
