The Texas Longhorns have been the favorite in every game they've played so far this year, even against then No. 1 Ohio State. UT has played four ranked teams, and the Horns have been the favorite in each of those games, be it in betting lines or ESPN's FPI Super Computer. But not this week. When Texas travels to Baton Rouge to face LSU in Death Valley, the Longhorns are an underdog.
Currently, Texas is a +4.5 point underdog at Tigers Stadium. ESPN's FPI gives Texas just a 47.4% chance to win on Saturday night. So why is Texas an underdog. At No. 22, Texas has faced four higher ranked teams this season and been the favorite in everyone.
Early betting odds for LSU football vs Texas in Week 11 📸 Stephen Lew, IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect https://t.co/A5Rge3aMAo
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— LSU Wire (@lsutigerswire) November 9, 2026
There's a couple reasons Texas is an underdog. First, while Texas has recorded two solid wins in a row, the Longhorns still look vulnerable. The Longhorns have also struggled on the road at night since Arch Manning became quarterback.
There's also a level of respect for Death Valley has one of the best and most impactful college football venues in America. Especially at night, winning a game in Baton Rouge is a tough task, no matter what kind of team LSU is fielding.
If Texas gets by LSU, the Longhorns will be favored over both Arkansas at home and Texas A&M on the road.
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This article originally appeared on Longhorns Wire: LSU game is first and only time Texas Longhorns are underdogs in 2026
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