The 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship tees off on Thursday, Aug. 13, from TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee. Golfweek's experts have locked in our best picks to win this weekend. Here's who we expect to sit atop the leaderboard when play ends on Sunday.
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FedEx St. Jude Championship Outright Winner
Todd Kelly: Sam Burns (+2000)
Burns won't be the betting favorite when Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are in the field, but he does have the fourth-best odds to win in Memphis. He's had some close calls this season, so here's a vote that he breaks through for his sixth PGA Tour win and first in three years.
Cameron Jourdan: Tommy Fleetwood (+2000)
I can't believe I'm actually picking Tommy Fleetwood to win a PGA Tour event. Yes,
he did win the Tour Championship last year, but he also had this tournament in his fingers when it slipped through at the last minute. Feels like he's due for another breakthrough.
Nick Stavas: Hideki Matsuyama (+2500)
Matsuyama might just be the hottest player in the world without a win in 2026. He's made 20 cuts in a row, he's placed no worse than T-14 since the U.S. Open in June, and he enters this week off three straight top-10 finishes. Plus, he won this event two years ago, so he's proven he can go deep at TPC Southwind. For the second straight week, I'm riding with the golfing pride of Japan to finally get back into the winner's circle.
Adam Schupak: J.J. Spaun (+5500)
J.J. is dynamite at TPC Southwind. Lost in a playoff last year and held the 54-hole lead previously. He's due. Tom Kim (+4000) and past champion Hideki Matsuyama (+2500) are also good course fits and playing top-notch golf of late.
Tim Schmitt: Sam Burns (+2000)
Burns has played well here, including a T-5 finish in 2024. And he's got three top-5 finishes in his last five starts this year. This seems like the right time.
Blake Schuster: Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Xander has a sneakily strong track record at this event with six Top 25 finishes in nine starts, including a tie for second place in 2025. After a solid showing in Detroit, he's firmly in the hunt for a win here.
This article originally appeared on Golfweek: Experts reveal their picks for the PGA Tour's FedEx St. Jude
