The Washington Commanders face the New York Giants in Week 10 on Thursday Night Football on Prime. It’s a rematch from just five weeks ago, when the Commanders and Giants ended in the only tie of the 2026 season so far. Washington had multiple chances to win, but made mistake after mistake, including on the much-talked-about final play.
New York enters Thursday at 5-2-1. The Giants are playing good football, and they’re doing it with their third quarterback of the season, JJ McCarthy. He presents a different challenge than Jameis Winston did five weeks ago. But Washington’s key is finding ways to limit Malik Nabers and Isaiah Likely.
Offensively, the Commanders must protect Jayden Daniels and give him some help in the running game. Washington,
Daniels specifically, can’t afford another slow start.
So, who wins?
It’s time for our Week 10 predictions.
Bryan Manning
I expect a close game. These games are always close. NFC East games are usually close, especially this rivalry. The Giants and Commanders have been in similar spots for several years. Right now, it’s the Giants’ turn to contend for a playoff spot. I believe the Commanders will do a good job of defending the run. I worry about McCarthy picking up some first downs with his legs. Washington’s secondary has been much better in recent weeks since Trey Amos returned. However, I don’t think they have anyone who can consistently cover Nabers. And they never cover tight ends.
Jayden Daniels will have another good performance. Will it be enough? He needs help. While I think he gets some help, it won’t be enough, and New York will win a close one.
Giants 27, Commanders 21
Ivan Lambert
The Commanders and Giants played to a 27-27 tie in Washington.
The Commanders are still without their top offensive lineman, wide receiver, running back and two defensive tackles. Now add to that they are Thursday without their top center. But they do have Jayden Daniels, and the Giants are playing J.J. McCarthy.
Unfortunately, their 5-2-1 record shows John Harbaugh has led the Giants well, while the Commanders are 2-5-1, and we are still waiting for them to make good last-minute decisions in a close game.
How healthy is J.J. McCarthy? He looked beat up on the sideline last week.
Look for Jayden Daniels to get a few more called running plays to try to jump-start the offense.
Commanders 23, Giants 20
Serena Burks
Division games are always difficult to predict, and the last time these two teams met, the game ended in a tie after some very questionable decisions by both teams. Since their last meeting, the Giants have fully integrated J.J. McCarthy, and the Commanders’ defensive front has been decimated by injuries. The spread on this game is only 2.5 points, per BetMGM, but it probably won’t be that close despite the tie a few weeks ago. The Commanders continue to make the same mistakes over and over, and clock management has been an issue this season. The Giants, despite some injuries, have continued to improve and largely move in the right direction. They currently sit atop the NFC East, and that’s not going to change anytime soon.
Giants 24, Commanders 17
Ariana Pensy
With how these teams have played, this is probably going to be a low-scoring affair. However, the main reason Washington is able to pull off the upset in this game is because of their defense. J.J. McCarthy’s turnover problems have not shown up so far as the quarterback of the Giants, but the Commanders could certainly change that. They are a team that is going to go after the ball every play, which they proved last time they faced New York. Washington’s offense has also been filling the void left by Terry McLaurin’s absence well. Jayden Daniels has been distributing the ball well, including getting it to tight end Chig Okonkwo more, as well as rookie receiver Antonio Williams. The biggest thing holding the Commanders back at this point is coaching. I would not be surprised to see another questionable coaching decision in this game, but I still think Washington can pull off this win.
Commanders 20, Giants 17
This article originally appeared on Commanders Wire: Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants: Week 10 staff picks and predictions
