The San Diego Padres (72-65) and Cincinnati Reds (65-72) tangle in the Monday lid-lifter of a 3-game series in Cincinnati, Ohio. The first pitch from Great American Ball Park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let's analyze MLB odds around the Padres vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 2-1
San Diego was a +144 when it lost 5-4 (Over 7) at the Tampa Bay Rays Sunday. The Padres were swept in a 3-game set in Tampa, and they head to the north bank of the Ohio River having lost 5 of their last 6 games.
Cincinnati was a +148 underdog when it defeated the Chicago Cubs 7-5 (Over 9) Sunday. With that victory at Wrigley Field, the Reds closed out a 9-game road swing with a mark of 4-5. But they
have gone 3-1 over their last 4 games.
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Padres at Reds projected starters
RHP Michael King vs. RHP Brady SingerKing (8-9, 3.23 ERA) is making his 28th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 156 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 1-0 loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
- Career vs. Reds (regular season): 2-0, 3.22 ERA (22 1/2 IP, 8 ER), 16 H, 6 BB, 16 K in 3 starts and 3 relief appearances
Singer (5-12, 4.72 ERA) is making his 27th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 137 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 3-1 loss at San Francisco Giants Tuesday
- Career vs. Padres (regular season): 1-0, 3.00 ERA (12 IP, 4 ER), 13 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 2 starts
Padres at Reds odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres -138 (bet $138 to win $100) | Reds +128 (bet $100 to win $128)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+112) | Reds +1.5 (-134)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Padres at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 6, Padres 4
Moneyline
San Diego is 1-3 over its last 4 series openers, and this figures as a suboptimal travel spot for the Padres.
King owns a 2.64 ERA over his last 5 starts, but that surface mark has been buoyed by a .253 batting average on balls in play. And he does have a history of late-season slides when it comes to his OPS-allowed figured.
Over their last 8 games, the Reds have slammed 18 home runs while clocking a .507 slugging percentage. Singer has been significantly better in his home yard this season: he owns a 5.67 ERA on the road and a 3.82 mark at home.
CINCINNATI (+128) is worth a partial-unit play.
Run line/Against the spread
No interest; PASS.
Over/Under
The Over has cashed in 3 straight series meetings, 3 straight Tampa games and 4 straight Cincy contests.Both clubs have runs-allowed figures that tilt into fade territory when it comes to an analytic appraisal of what has been actually yielded compared to what has perhaps been deserved in the pitching-and-defense department. Mix in some fade on King's side of the mound matchup and the fact that the Reds bullpen has been having a bad month (5.53 ERA in August) and is a bottom-third unit overall.
The OVER 9 (-108) is the leverage side here.
Betting odds calculator
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions
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