The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-4) and Dallas Cowboys (2-2) square off on Thursday Night Football at AT&T Stadium in Dallas, Texas. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let's analyze NFL odds around the Buccaneers at Cowboys odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.
The Buccaneers fell to 0-4 for the first time since 2013 with a 17-14 (Under 39) loss to the visiting Green Bay Packers (-2.5). Undrafted rookie QB Jalon Daniels, who made his first career start for an injured Baker Mayfield, completed 19 of 27 passes for 148 yards and 1 TD, but threw 2 INTs that the Packers turned into 10 points. WR Chris Godwin had 6 receptions for 31 yards, while RB Kenneth Gainwell was the recipient of Daniels' first career TD toss.
The Bucs held the Packers to 283 total yards (197 passing, 86 rushing) and forced 2 turnovers (1 INT, 1 fumble).
Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb had a career-high 17 catches for 189 yards and the game-winning score with 40 seconds remaining as the Cowboys (+2.5) rallied for a 34-30 (Over 48.5) victory over the Houston Texans. Lamb wasn't the only Cowboy with a big day as QB Dak Prescott completed 32 of 45 passes for 335 yards and 1 TD, while RB Javonte Williams rushed for 62 yards and 3 TDs on 19 carries. While the Cowboys kept the Texans running game in check (62 yards), they struggled to slow QB C.J. Stroud, who completed 21 of 31 passes for 347 yards and 2 TDs. Both TDs were caught by WR Nico Collins, who had 7 catches for 118 yards.
The Cowboys lead the all-time series 17-6. The Cowboys won the most recent matchup with the Bucs 26-24 in Dallas on Dec. 22, 2024. With Cooper Rush at QB for the Cowboys that day, Lamb burned the Bucs for 105 yards, while K Brandon Aubrey had FGs of 58, 49, 58 and 53 yards. Mayfield completed 31 of 43 passes for 303 yards with 2 TDs and 1 INT, while RB Bucky Irving ran for 68 yards and 1 TD on 16 carries.
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Buccaneers at Cowboys odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 5:48 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Cowboys -450 (bet $45- to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers +8.5 (-110) | Cowboys -8.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -108 | U: -110)
Buccaneers at Cowboys key injuries
BUCCANEERS
- LB SirVocea Dennis (calf) out
- TE Ko Kieft (elbow) questionable
- QB Baker Mayfield (thumb) out
- CB Benjamin Morrison (quadriceps) out
- S Antoine Winfield Jr. (ribs) out
COWBOYS
- CB Cobie Durant (hamstring) doubtful
- LB DeMarvion Overshown (hamstring) doubtful
- OT Drew Shelton (hamstring) doubtful
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Buccaneers at Cowboys picks and predictions
Prediction
Cowboys 27, Buccaneers 16
Moneyline
PASS.
If you're thinking potential upset, know that the Buccaneers (+350) are 2-13 all-time at Dallas, though they did win at AT&T Stadium as recently as 2022. There's no value on the Cowboys (-450) moneyline.
Against the spread
BET COWBOYS -8.5 (-108).
After being held to 20 points by the New York Giants in the season opener, the Cowboys have scored 37, 31 and 34 in their last 3 games. While the Bucs rank fourth in the league in total defense at 282.8 yards per game YPG), they're in the bottom half in points allowed at 24 points per game (PPG).
The Cowboys' defense has proven vulnerable -- they rank 30th in total defense (389.5 YPG) and are allowing 28 PPG -- but I don't think the Bucs will be able to take advantage given the short week for their undrafted rookie QB.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 47.5 (-110).
The Over has hit in all 4 Cowboys games, but I'm betting the Bucs to keep Dallas under their average (30.5 PPG). As for the Cowboys defense, if they can't slow this Bucs offense, I'm not sure who they're going to be able to stop.
Best prop bet
Bucs QB JALON DANIELS 50+ RUSHING YARDS (+105 HARD ROCK BET).
The Cowboys rank 31st in rush defense (150.3 YPG) and this is due in large part to running QBs. Dallas has had the unenviable task of trying to contain Jaxson Dart (54 yards), Jayden Daniels (69 yards) and Lamar Jackson (50 yards). The Bucs' Daniels ran for 55 yards last week vs. Green Bay.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys odds, picks and predictions
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