The Colorado Avalanche (5-2-1) and Philadelphia Flyers (1-6-3) tangle in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Monday. The opening puck drop at Xfinity Mobile Arena is at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let's analyze NHL odds around the Avalanche vs. Flyers odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
2025-26 season series: Tied 1-1 with each team winning on the road
Colorado last played Friday, defeating the +170 Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2 (Over 6.5). The Avalanche erased an early 2-0 deficit and scored 5 unanswered goals in the home-ice conquest over a Pens squad that through Sunday had lost 6 of its last 7 (1-5-1). C Nathan MacKinnon collected a goal and 3 assists, as the Avs snapped a 2-game home losing streak.
The Flyers' last game was Saturday, when they snapped
a season-opening 9-game winless skid (a franchise record) by beating the -166 Ottawa Senators 3-1 (Under 5.5).
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Avalanche at Flyers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:17 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Avalanche -235 (bet $235 to win $100) | Flyers +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche -1.5 (+100) | Flyers +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -118 | U: -102)
Avalanche at Flyers projected goalies
Mackenzie Blackwood (4-2-0, 2.87 GAA, .890 SV%) vs. Dan Vladar (1-3-1, 3.58 GAA, .889 SV%)
Blackwood stopped 29 of 31 shots in Friday's 5-2 win over the Penguins. He posted a 2.53 GAA, .909 SV% over the last 2 seasons. He's 11-3-2 with a 2.48 GAA against the Flyers in 16 games.
Vladar stopped 25 of 26 shots in Saturday's 3-1 win over the Senators. He owns a .947 SV% over 2 home starts in the last week. He's 2-4 with a 3.88 GAA against the Avs in 6 games.
Avalanche at Flyers picks and predictions
Prediction
Avalanche 3, Flyers 2
Moneyline
No interest; PASS.
Puck line/Against the spread
The analysis here boils down to fading Colorado shooting (14.6% through 8 games) and playing Philadelphia's offense as being slightly underrated. Its a play into the wide swath separating the Avs' (4.50 goals per game) and Flyers (1.40 GPG) scoring averages.
The expected-goal numbers would indicate the Avalanche are too far out over their skis at current production levels. They have dipped a bit in quality 5-on-5 shot attempts over their last 2 games. Colorado has not been overly reliant on power-play production and is up against a Philly PK operating at an 84.8% rate in denying extra-man goals.
Vladar was solid through much of the second half of last season and should have some confidence going after last week.
From a talent-system-power-rankings standpoint, the Avs are the pick to win, but the prices on the ML and PL are a bit too steep. PHILADELPHIA +1.5 (-120) has value.
Over/Under
The last 4 series meetings have produced 3-1 tilt toward the Under, and that stretch includes 2 straight Under in games at Philadelphia. The Flyers' 10 games have produced an 8-2 mark for the Under.
The 2-sided (offense, defense) schedule strengths so far reveal Philly playing above-average offensive clubs and the Avs playing below-average defensive squads. Neither side gets penalized all that often, and both PKs are solid. So, lets expect 5-on-5 play to dominate here and for the visitors to prevail in a relatively low-scoring affair.
TAKE THE UNDER 6 (-102).
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Colorado Avalanche at Philadelphia Flyers odds, picks and predictions
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