The Indiana Pacers (2-3) visit the Miami Heat (1-4) Friday for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off at Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. Let's analyze NBA odds around the Pacers vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2025-26 season series: Pacers won 2-1 with the loss in Miami
Indiana has dropped back-to-back games after losing 114-109 against the Philadelphia 76ers Wednesday, covering as a 7.5-point home underdog with the Under (234.5) hitting. F Pascal Siakam scored a team-high 26 points with 11 rebounds, while G Andrew Nembhard added a double-double (18 points, 14 assists). At one point, the Pacers led by 13 points.
Miami won its first game of the season Wednesday with a 129-117 victory at the Atlanta Hawks, covering as a 2.5-point
road underdog with the Over (243.5) hitting. F Giannis Antetokounmpo and C Bam Adebayo each scored a game-high 24 points, while Antetokounmpo added 18 rebounds in the win.
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Pacers at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pacers +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Heat -325 (bet $325 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +8.5 (-110) | Heat -8.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Pacers at Heat key injuries
Pacers
- G Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring) out
- G T.J. McConnell (hamstring) out
- G Andrew Nembhard (neck) probable
- G Aaron Nesmith (hamstring) probable
- C Ivica Zubac (ankle) out
Heat
- F Simone Fotecchio (illness) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Pacers at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 121, Pacers 107
Moneyline
PASS.
There is minimal value on the Heat (-325) to take down an injury-riddled Pacers squad.
Against the spread
BET HEAT -8.5 (-110).
The Heat snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 12-point road victory in their last contest and face a Pacers team that is without their star G Haliburton. His absence changes the pace of play or shot creation for the road team. While Siakam is sure to make an impact, Antetokounmpo and company are looking to continue with the momentum on their way back to .500.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 237.5 (-115).
The Pacers have scored 109 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 games, including back-to-back. They have hit the Under in each of those matchups, while stepping up on the defensive end, allowing 114 or fewer points in each of their last 3.
The Heat have scored 111 or fewer in 4 of their 5 games thus far, while allowing 115 or fewer in 2 of their last 3. They have a 2-3 Over record, including 1-2 on their home court.
Best prop bet
Bet Heat C BAM ADEBAYO POINTS: 18+ (-139 on DraftKings Sportsbook).
Adebayo has seen his opportunities increase this season with the Heat's offseason addition of Antetokounmpo. He has scored at least 20 points in 2 of his last 3 games and will have a favorable matchup with the Pacers missing Zubac. He is averaging 2.6 offensive rebounds per game and has played at least 30 minutes in 4 of his 5 appearances this season, giving him ample opportunity to hit this total.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions
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