The No. 7 Ole Miss Rebels (5-1, 3-1 SEC) and No. 18 Texas Longhorns (4-2, 1-2) square off in an SEC matchup Saturday at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let's analyze college football odds around the Ole Miss at Texas odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions for the best bets.
Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss threw for 3 TDs and ran for another as the Rebels (-3.5) pounded the visiting Missouri Tigers 31-3 (Under 57) Saturday. Chambliss completed 20 of 36 passes for 241 yards, but it was the ground game that dominated Missouri. RB Kewan Lacy led Ole Miss with 122 yards on 16 carries, while RB Makhi Frazier added 101 yards on 15 carries as the Rebels compiled 257 yards rushing,
while hold Missouri to 39 yards on the ground. Missouri QB Austin Simmons completed 25 of 44 passes for 339 yards, but failed to find the end zone and also threw an INT.
Texas jumped out to a 17-3 first-half lead, but couldn't hang on and lost their second straight home game, falling 27-24 (Under 52) to the Florida Gators (+13.5) Saturday. Texas QB Arch Manning was limited to 14 of 20 passing for 173 yards with 1 TD. He was sacked 5 times and fumbled on the Longhorns' final possession. Florida controlled the ball for more than 38 minutes while holding Texas to 272 total yards and 2 of 10 on third down.
Texas leads the all-time series vs. Ole Miss 6-1. The schools haven't played since a 44-23 Ole Miss victory in September 2013. That win was later vacated due to NCAA violations.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Ole Miss at Texas odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 3:28 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Ole Miss +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Texas -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Ole Miss +3.5 (-115) | Texas -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -108 | U: -110)
Ole Miss at Texas picks and predictions
Prediction
Ole Miss 27, Texas 24
Moneyline
PASS.
All of Texas' games against Power Four opponents have been tight. How tight? The Longhorns are averaging 23 points in those games, while giving up an average of 23.5 points. The former No. 1 team has lost its last 2 games at home by identical 27-24 scores. They a good, solid team, they're just not an elite team.
After getting embarrassed by Florida, Ole Miss has rebounded with 2 convincing victories.
Against the spread
BET OLE MISS +3.5 (-115).
I could pick Ole Miss straight up, but if I can take the points and still get good value, I'm on it.
Statistically, Ole Miss has the worst defense in the SEC (390 yards per game allowed), but Texas hasn't shown to have an offense that teams fear, ranking in the bottom half of the league in yards (362.3 YPG) and points (30.2 per game).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 54.5 (-108).
I think this will look much like the 4 previous games Texas has experienced against Power Four foes -- a tight game with each team scoring somewhere in the 20s. While only 1 team has held Ole Miss to less than 30 points this season (28 at Florida), no team has scored more than 27 points against this Texas defense. And Texas has scored more than 30 points in a game just once (59 vs. the Texas State Bobcats).
Best Prop Bet
Bet Ole Miss QB TRINIDAD CHAMBLISS ANYTIME TD (+110).
While Chambliss is running less, he's on pace to surpass is rushing TD total from a season ago. He's run for a score in 5 of 6 games this season.
Betting odds calculator
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Ole Miss Rebels at Texas Longhorns odds, picks and predictions
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