In a 3-round women's bantamweight bout on the main card, Norma Dumont and Ailin Perez meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 289 at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The prelims begin at 5 p.m. ET, and the main card is scheduled for an 8 p.m. ET start (all on Paramount+). Let's analyze UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 289: Dumont vs. Perez odds and make our expert UFC picks and predictions.
Records: Dumont (13-3-0) | Perez (13-2-0)
Dumont is looking to rebound from a unanimous-decision loss to Joselyne Edwards last time out in late April in a fight night bout. That halted a 6-fight win streak, with all of the wins coming via decision, including 5 unanimous and 1 via split decision, against Ketlen Vieira.
Perez stopped Macy Chiasson last time out
in a fight night in late February, and she enters on a 6-bout win streak, including a victory over Edwards in June 2024. During the streak, Perez has 5 unanimous-decision wins, and a Round 1 submission victory over Daria Zhelezniakova in September 2024.
The 35-year-old Dumont has a 1-inch reach advantage while posting a 3.85 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, to just 2.88 for Perez. The Argentine-born Perez is more accurate on those strikes, however, posting a 67.34% mark, to just 59.32% for Dumont. In takedown average, Perez has a 4.90-to-1.43 advantage, with Perez checking in with a 0.17 submission average, too.
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UFC Fight Night 289: Dumont vs. Perez odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Dumont +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Perez -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -450 | No +300)
UFC Fight Night 289: Dumont vs. Perez picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
PEREZ (-165) isn't priced out of line if you simply want to declare a winner, without picking a method of victory.
Perez has 6 consecutive victories since losing her UFC debut against Stephanie Egger on Sept. 3, 2022. She has 5 unanimous-decision wins and a Round 1 submission victory over Daria Zhelezniakova at a September 2024 Fight Night -- then controversially twerked over her beaten opponent.
Perez has a huge social media following, but she is also a very good fighter, too. Her work in the takedown category will be enough to wow the judges, as well as her much better accuracy on significant strikes.
Over/Under
Yes (-450): Fight to go the distance will cost you 4.5 times your potential return, and that's way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. A better way to go would be taking PEREZ BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (-110) near even-money.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow Daniel Dobish on X at @danieledobish. Follow SportsbookWire on X at SportsBookWire and on Facebook.
This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: UFC Fight Night 289 Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez odds, picks and predictions
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