The Oklahoma City Thunder (4-2) and Cleveland Cavaliers (4-2) meet Monday at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET (NBCSN). Let's analyze NBA odds around the Thunder vs. Cavaliers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2025-26 season series: Thunder won 2-0
OKC beat the Cavaliers 136-104 as a 6-point favorite as the Over (229.5) cashed on Jan. 19 in last season's win in Cleveland. OKC is 6-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in the past 7 meetings since Jan. 27, 2023.
OKC lost 119-98 at the Houston Rockets Saturday as a 2.5-point underdog as the Under (219.5) cashed, its second straight loss by at least 21 points. The Thunder are 1-3 ATS in the past 4 games, while the Under is 5-1
in 6 outings this season.
Cleveland routed the Milwaukee Bucks 136-111 as an 8.5-point favorite as the Over (235.5) cashed. The Cavaliers have scored 121+ points in 4 of the past 5 games, while the Over has a 3-2 edge in the span. The Cavs have allowed at least 111 points in all 6 outings this season.
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Thunder at Cavaliers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:13 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Thunder +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Cavaliers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +4.5 (-118) | Cavaliers -4.5 (-102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Thunder at Cavaliers key injuries
Thunder
- G Alex Caruson (ankle) out
- C Chet Holmgren (knee) out
- C Thomas Sorber (knee) out
- G Nikola Topic (back) out
- G Cason Wallace (shoulder) out
- G Jalen Williams (ankle) out
Cavaliers
- F Nae'Qwan Tomlin (back) out
- G Jaylon Tyson (ankle) out
- F Peyton Watson (hamstring) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Thunder at Cavaliers picks and predictions
Prediction
Cavaliers 119, Thunder 111
Moneyline
The Cavaliers (-185) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that's way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. Perhaps if you use a boost or promo, that's fine, but straight up is not a recommended play.
AVOID.
Against the spread
The CAVALIERS -4.5 (-102) are worth playing lightly, maybe because they're much more healthy. Cleveland has struggled in this series in recent seasons, but right now, OKC is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and then a handful of players who would normally be on the bench. Look for Cleveland to take advantage.
Over/Under
BET OVER 228.5 (-110) is worth a look, mainly based upon the play of Cleveland lately, but go with a half-unit play at most.
The Cavaliers dropped a season-high 136 points in Milwaukee, and it is averaging 124.3 points per game in 3 games at home, while allowing 119.0 PPG.
For Oklahoma City, the offense has struggled lately, mainly because it's SGA trying to do it all, and no other secondary or tertiary options contributing consistently. That's why it's best to pump the brakes and go easy on the total here.
Best prop bet
Bet Thunder F ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN 25+ POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSISTS (+120).
Hartenstein is worth a roll of the dice at plus-money on this combo prop. In the past 4 games, he has tried to step up his game with no Holmgren and Williams, going for 11.8 PPG, 11.5 RPG and 1.8 APG. If he hits those averages in Cleveland, he'll cash this prop.
Betting odds calculator
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow Daniel Dobish on X at @danieledobish. Follow SportsbookWire on X at SportsBookWire and on Facebook.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions
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