The Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) and Atlanta Falcons (3-6) meet Sunday in Atlanta, Georgia, for a Week 10 battle. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let's analyze NFL odds around the Chiefs vs. Falcons odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.
The Chiefs snapped a 2-game losing streak in Week 9, cruising past the New York Jets 35-12. Kansas City covered as a 9.5-point home favorite, while the game finished Under the 47.5-point total. QB Patrick Mahomes threw for 242 yards and 2 touchdowns, while RB Kenneth Walker III rushed for 102 yards and a score.
The Falcons suffered their fourth loss in 5 games, falling 34-17 to the Cincinnati Bengals in Madrid. Atlanta failed to cover as a 3.5-point home underdog,
while the game finished Under the 52.5-point total. RB Bijan Robinson provided a bright spot, piling up 147 total yards and a touchdown on 25 touches.
The Chiefs beat the Falcons 22-17 in Atlanta on Sept. 22, 2024, covering as 3-point road favorites. The game also finished Under the 46.5-point total.
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Chiefs at Falcons odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:50 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Falcons +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -3.5 (+100) | Falcons +3.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47 (O: -112 | U: -105)
Chiefs at Falcons injuries
Chiefs
- CB Mansoor Delane (shoulder) questionable
- OT Jaylon Moore (ankle) out
- RB Jaydn Ott (hamstring) questionable
- RB Kenneth Walker III (groin) questionable
- DT Peter Woods (knee) out
Falcons
- WR Zachariah Branch (hamstring) out
- LB Divine Deablo (forearm) doubtful
- DT Gervon Dexter Sr. (illness) questionable
- DE James Pearce Jr. (back) questionable
- LB Josh Woods (ankle) questionable
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Chiefs at Falcons picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 27, Falcons 20
Moneyline
PASS.
The Chiefs (-175) will win this game comfortably in Atlanta, which is why I'll take the better odds on the spread.
SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Best prop bets
Against the spread
BET CHIEFS -3.5 (+100).
Kansas City has the edge on both sides of the ball heading into Sunday's matchup with Atlanta. The Chiefs average 392.4 yards and 25.3 points per game, while their defense ranks third in the NFL, allowing just 17.9 points per contest.
Mahomes should have plenty of opportunities against a Falcons secondary allowing 228 passing yards per game, especially after Atlanta traded S Jessie Bates III. Walker has also been a difference-maker this season and faces an Atlanta defense allowing 118.8 rushing yards per game. However, he popped up on the injury report Friday with a sore groin. RB Emmett Johnson has proven to be more than capable if K9 is out.
The Falcons have dropped 4 of their last 5 games and continue to struggle offensively. Meanwhile, Kansas City is coming off a convincing win and has won 3 straight meetings with Atlanta.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 47 (-105).
Atlanta's offense has struggled to finish drives, and its run-heavy approach could help keep the clock moving Sunday. Kansas City's defense has been tough to crack, allowing just 17.9 points per game. The Falcons have also played lower-scoring games in similar spots, with 15 of their last 21 as home underdogs finishing below the total. With Atlanta's red-zone struggles, another defensive battle could be coming.
Best prop bet
QB PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 241.5 PASSING YARDS (-105).
Mahomes has thrown for at least 242 yards in 5 of 8 starts this season, averaging 254.6 yards per game. Atlanta's defense has allowed opposing quarterbacks to reach that mark in 5 of its last 7 games, making this a favorable matchup. The Falcons also face 38 pass attempts per game, and with Walker questionable, Kansas City could lean even more heavily on Mahomes' arm Sunday.
Betting odds calculator
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions
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