The Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) and Miami Dolphins (0-2) battle at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let's analyze NFL odds around the Chiefs at Dolphins odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.
QB Patrick Mahomes threw for 382 yards and 3 TDs as the Chiefs survived a scare from the visiting Indianapolis Colts (+5.5) 33-30 in OT (Over 45.5) last Sunday. Chiefs K Harrison Butker was 4 for 5 on FG attempts, hitting 2 FGs in OT after the Colts matched Kansas City's first score in the extra session. RB Kenneth Walker III had another strong game for Chiefs, carrying the ball 25 times for 117 yards, and TE Travis Kelce caught 9 balls for 101 yards and 1 TD as Kansas City racked
up 523 total yards. Colts RB Jonathan Taylor muscled his way to 92 yards and 2 TDs on 24 carries and also caught 4 passes for 40 yards, while QB Daniel Jones was 22 of 31 for 210 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT.
The San Francisco 49ers (-12.5) scored TDs on their first 5 possessions to rout the visiting Dolphins 35-13 (Over 45) last Sunday. The Dolphins had no answers for 49ers QB Brock Purdy, who sliced up the Miami defense, completing 20 of 22 passes for 287 and 2 TDs. Purdy also led the 49ers in rushing with 30 yards and a TD on 3 carries. The Dolphins limited 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey to 23 yards on 10 carries, but he did score twice. Miami RB De'Von Achane found a little more running room in Week 2, rushing for 74 yards on 20 carries. QB Malik Willis was 14 of 23 for 197 yards and 1 TD, a 77-yard bomb to WR Ryan Miller with 2:30 left in the game.
The Chiefs have won 5 straight games vs. the Dolphins and lead the all-time series 17-16. The teams last met in an AFC Wild Card game Jan. 13, 2024, at Arrowhead Stadium. The temperature at kickoff was minus-4 degrees Fahrenheit and the wind chill was minus-27 degrees. Mahomes threw for 262 yards and 1 TD and ran for 41 yards on 2 carries to help lift the Chiefs to a 26-7 victory. WR Rashee Rice was the recipient of the TD pass and had 8 catches for 130 yards, while Kelce had 7 catches for 71 yards. Achane, the only skill-position player who had a catch or run attempt in that game that is still with the Dolphins, was held to 9 yards on 6 carries and had 3 catches for 21 yards.
Watch the NFL on Fubo!
Chiefs at Dolphins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -650 (bet $650 to win $100) | Dolphins +500 (bet $100 to win $500)
- Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -10.5 (-110) | Dolphins +10.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 45 (O: -110 | U: -108)
Chiefs at Dolphins key injuries
CHIEFS
- S Chamarri Conner (knee) doubtful
- OT Josh Simmons (back) out
DOLPHINS
- CB Julius Brents (knee) questionable
- WR Caleb Douglas (ankle) out
- WR Ryan Miller (hip) questionable
- RB Jaylen Wright (foot) doubtful
USA TODAY Sports Fantasy: Sync your ESPN, Yahoo, CBS or Sleeper league in seconds to unlock custom roster advice, expert projections, and start/sit recommendations built for your team. Stop guessing and start winning. Sync your league now!
Chiefs at Dolphins picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 42, Dolphins 10
Moneyline
PASS.
Though they're playing their first home game of the season, it would be a stunning upset if the Dolphins handed the Chiefs their first loss of the season. And there's no value in picking the Chiefs straight up.
Against the spread
BET CHIEFS -10.5 (-105).
Oddsmakers must really think some home cooking is going to keep the Dolphins within shouting distance of the Chiefs. I don't see it. The Chiefs should have their way with the Dolphins just like the 49ers did.
I was a little surprised that McCaffrey didn't have a bigger game on the ground vs. the Dolphins, but that may have been a product of the game plan as much as anything with Purdy airing it out with relative ease. Like Kirk Cousins and Purdy before him, Mahomes should finds plenty of receivers running wide open in the Dolphins secondary. What's more, the Dolphins have 0 sacks through 2 games, the only team in the league without a sack.
Over/Under
BET OVER 45 (-110).
Like the 49ers, the Chiefs should be able to put up at least 5 TDs on their own, but will the Dolphins be able to contribute anything on offense? The Chiefs rank third in total defense at 252 yards per game, while the Dolphins rank 27th on offense at 271.5 ypg while averaging 13 points per game.
Best prop bet
BET PATRICK MAHOMES 250+ PASSING YARDS (+105)
How will the Chiefs choose to attack the Dolphins, through the air or on the ground? Probably both, but between a lack of pressure and a secondary bereft of talent, Mahomes should easily be able to carve up the Dolphins defense. Taking the Kenneth Walker rushing prop Over 100+ yards is also tempting.
Betting odds calculator
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on X at SportsBookWire and on Facebook.
Access more NFL coverage:
USA TODAY Sports Fantasy | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | ColtsWire | CommandersWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWire | TitansWire | VikingsWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | ListWire | High schools
This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and predictions
Advertiser disclosure: USA TODAY may earn a commission when you sign up through links on this page. Commissions never influence our editorial coverage or rankings. Offers and odds were accurate at publication and are subject to change; terms apply — see the operator’s site. This is general information, not betting, legal or financial advice. To the fullest extent permitted by law, USA TODAY is not liable for losses arising from your use of it.
Must be 21+ (18+ where permitted). Sports betting and casino gaming are not legal everywhere; complying with the laws where you are located is your responsibility. Gamble only with funds you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Help is available 24/7 — call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, or call the National Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-MY-RESET. State helplines and responsible gaming resources.
