The Oklahoma City Thunder (6-2) face the Memphis Grizzlies (6-2) Friday at FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tennessee. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let's analyze NBA odds around the Thunder vs. Grizzlies odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2025-26 season series: Thunder won 3-0 including 2 wins in Memphis
Oklahoma City beat the Cleveland Cavaliers 124-116 Wednesday as a 3.5-point home favorite with the Over (226.5) hitting. The Thunder faced the Cavs in back-to-back games, winning both games. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander put up 43 against the Cavs Monday and 42 Wednesday to carry OKC to both wins while short-handed. G Ajay Mitchell also put up 20 or more points in both wins vs. Cleveland.
Memphis lost 107-103 to the Indiana
Pacers Wednesday while failing to cover as a 6.5-point home favorite as the Under (227.5) cashed. The Grizzlies struggled to shoot from everywhere in the loss, hitting just 12 of 44 (27%) from 3-point range and 9 of 15 (60%) from the free-throw line. After starting out 6-0, the Grizzlies have lost back-to-back games and have given up a combined 36 turnovers.
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Thunder at Grizzlies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:28 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Thunder -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Grizzlies +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -4.5 (-102) | Grizzlies +4.5 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Thunder at Grizzlies key injuries
Thunder
- F Chet Holmgren (knee) out
- C Thomas Sorber (knee) out
- G Nikola Topic (back) out
- G Cason Wallace (shoulder) out
- F Jalen Williams (ankle) out
- F/C Jaylin Williams (back) out
Grizzlies
- G Scotty Pippen Jr. (back) out
- F/C Isaiah Stewart (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Thunder at Grizzlies picks and predictions
Prediction
Thunder 111, Grizzlies 109
Moneyline
PASS.
The Thunder are the better team and should win this game in spite of being short-handed, but they are not worth the risk of backing as -180 favorites. Pass here and bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
LEAN GRIZZLIES +4.5 (-118).
The Grizzlies don't have the starpower to match OKC, but there are some legit ways that Memphis can keep this game close in spite of that. The Grizzlies have the fourth-best defensive rating (106.8) and are the top rebounding team in the league, averaging 49.5 rebounds per game. Offensively, the Grizzlies shoot the highest percentage from beyond the arc (40%) of any team while hitting the second-most threes per game (15.8).
Look for the Grizzlies to win on the glass and get good looks against this OKC defense to keep this one close.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 224.5 (-115).
Memphis is a good defensive team, and with so many key injuries hurting OKC, expect that offense isn't an easy thing to come by for OKC here. On the other side, the Grizzlies are a young team that will likely struggle with turnovers against this physical defense, so expect some offensive woes on both sides at times.
The Under has hit in 3 of OKC's last 4 games and is 6-2 on the season for the Thunder while being 5-3 on the season for Memphis. The Under has also cashed in 8 of the last 10 matchups between the Thunder and Grizzlies.
Best prop bet
Thunder G AJAY MITCHELL OVER 18.5 POINTS (-120).
Mitchell has scored over 19 points against Memphis in 2 of his last 3 matchups against the Grizzlies, and he has taken at least 13 shots with multiple trips to the foul stripe in all of his last 3 meetings with Memphis. When players are out for OKC, Mitchell is the guy that steps up to help Shai, so expect to continue to see Mitchell continue to put up similar numbers to what he did against Cleveland. Mitchell has also scored at least 19 in 4 of his last 5 outings overall.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions
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