The NFL goes international this week when the Cincinnati Bengals (5-2) meet the Atlanta Falcons (3-5) Sunday with a 9:30 a.m. ET (NFL Network) kickoff from Santiago Bernabeu in Madrid, Spain. Let's analyze NFL odds around the Bengals vs. Falcons odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.
Cincinnati has won 3 games in a row after taking down the Tennessee Titans 43-36 in overtime on Sunday, failing to cover as a 13.5-point home favorite with the Over (45.5) hitting with ease. QB Joe Burrow threw for 462 yards with 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, while adding a TD on the ground. WR Tee Higgins (10 receptions, 155 yards, 2 TDs) and WR Ja'Marr Chase (11, 141, 1) each had major games. TE Mike Gesicki extended his touchdown streak
to 5 games in the victory.
Atlanta dropped its third game in 4 weeks with a 16-0 loss against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, failing to cover as a 1.5-point road underdog with the Under (42.5) hitting. QB Michael Penix Jr. struggled, throwing for 125 yards and 4 INTs, while RB Bijan Robinson ran for 76 yards in the losing effort.
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Bengals vs. Falcons odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:35 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Bengals -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Falcons +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread (ATS): Bengals -3.5 (+100) | Falcons +3.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -108 | U: -110)
Bengals vs. Falcons key injuries
Bengals
- S Kyle Dugger (quadricep) out
- DE Cedric Johnson (ankle, foot) questionable
Falcons
- DE Yasir Abdullah (hamstring) questionable
- WR Zachariah Branch (hamstring) out
- WR Beaux Collins (hip) questionable
- LB Divine Deablo (forearm) questionable
- DE James Pearce Jr. (back) questionable
- RB Brian Robinson (hamstring) out
- T Cameron Williams (ankle) questionable
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Bengals vs. Falcons picks and predictions
Prediction
Bengals 31, Falcons 23
Moneyline
PASS.
There is minimal value on the Bengals (-175) to handle the Falcons, who have dropped 3 of their last 4.
Against the spread
BET BENGALS -3.5 (+100).
The Bengals have covered in 2 of their last 3 games, with both covers coming on the road. While international games certainly have a different feel compared to normal road games, Burrow has been playing too well recently not to back his Bengals. He has thrown at least 4 TDs in each of his last 3 games and the Bengals have scored at least 31 points in each of those games.
The Falcons had a horrific day on offense last week, but their defense has struggled majorly all season, allowing at least 30 points in 2 of their last 4 games. They are 1-3 ATS over their last 4 games.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 52.5 (-108).
With the way the Bengals have been playing on offense, it is too difficult not to back the Over. With Burrow, Chase and Higgins playing cohesive football, they are too much of a threat to opposing defenses, especially the Falcons.
The Bengals have a 5-2 Over record this season. They have scored at least 35 in back-to-back weeks and at least 27 points in 5 games this season. Defensively, while they have played well, they have allowed at least 22 points in 4 of their last 5 games.
The Falcons have scored 23 or more points in 5 of their last 6 games, while allowing 24 or more points in 4 of their last 7. They have hit the Over in 4 of their last 6 games.
Best prop bet
BET ANYTIME TD: MIKE GESICKI (+215 on DraftKings Sportsbook).
Gesicki has a touchdown in 5 straight games and in 6 of his 7 games this season. While he does not see a ton of targets, having more than 3 just 3 times this season, he is an anchor for Burrow when both Chase and Higgins see tighter coverage. He has 17 receptions this season with 6 of them being for touchdowns, while the Falcons have allowed 4 TDs to opposing tight ends this season.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions
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