The Milwaukee Brewers and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Monday for Game 3 of the World Series at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. First pitch is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Let's analyze MLB odds around the Brewers vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Best-of-7 series: Brewers lead 2-0; won regular-season series 2-1 in Milwaukee March 30-April 1
Milwaukee (-115) fell behind 4-0 in the top of the first inning of Game 2 Saturday, but the Brewers responded with 2 runs in the bottom of the first, and runs in the fourth, sixth and seventh innings to post the come-from-behind 5-4 victory as the Over (6.5) cashed.
Rays C Liam Hicks, who drove in 2 runs in the 3-2 Game 1 win, had a 2-run shot off of Brewers
RHP Logan Henderson in the top of the first. Rays 1B Jonathan Aranda, who had 3 hits in Game 1, finished 1 for 4 with a double and 2 strikeouts in Game 2. Brewers RF Sal Frelick went 2 for 4 with a solo homer, while LF Jackson Chourio and C William Contreras each collected 2 singles in 5 at-bats.
The series shifts to the Suncoast, and Milwaukee has posted 3 straight road victories in the postseason since losing Game 3 in San Diego in the NLDS Oct. 6. The Over is 4-1 in the past 5 playoff games for the Brew Crew.
For the Rays, they'll be glad to have some home cooking, as they're 4-1 in 5 playoff games at home, including a 7-3 win over the Cleveland Guardians in Game 6 of the ALCS. Their lone loss was in Game 1 against the Guardians, also by a 7-3 score. The Over is 3-1 in the past 4 home playoff games for the Rays.
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Brewers at Rays projected starters
LHP Robert Gasser vs. RHP Freddy Peralta
Gasser (5-5, 3.87 ERA regular season) made 20 starts (21 appearances) in the regular season. He posted a 1.19 WHIP with a 2.9 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 109 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-2 win at Los Angeles Dodgers in NLCS Game 3 Oct. 14
- 2026 postseason (2 starts): 0-0, 1.00 ERA (9 IP, 1 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 1 HR, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K
- Career postseason (2 starts, 2 relief appearances): 0-0, 2.31 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 3 HR, 4 BB, 8 K
- 2026 regular-season road splits (9 starts, 1 relief appearance): 4-3, 4.36 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 49 K
- Has never faced Rays
Peralta (10-11, 4.42 ERA regular season) made 32 starts in the regular season. He posted a 1.33 WHIP with a 3.8 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 169 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 HR, 3 BB, 3 K in 7-3 series-clinching home victory in ALCS Game 6 vs. Guardians Oct. 19
- 2026 postseason (3 starts, 1 relief appearance): 2-0, 1.08 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 7 BB, 12 K
- Career postseason (9 starts, 4 relief appearances): 3-3, 3.24 ERA (50 IP, 18 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 20 BB, 53 K
- 2026 regular-season home splits (17 starts with Mets and Brewers): 5-5, 3.53 ERA (89 1/3 IP, 35 ER), 1.25 WHIP
- Career/2026 vs. Brewers (1 start): Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 7 K in 8-3 setback July 20 as member of the New York Mets
Brewers at Rays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 1:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Rays -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+170) | Rays +1.5 (+210)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Brewers at Rays picks and predictions
Prediction
Rays 4, Brewers 2
Moneyline
The RAYS (-118) are worth a look in Game 3, as Peralta has really come up big in this postseason for Tampa Bay. This is a must-win game for the Rays, as it can ill afford to go into an 0-3 series hole, having to win 4 consecutive games. It's do-or-die, and I think Peralta rises to the occasion yet again.
Run line/Against the spread
Backing the Rays +1.5 (-210) on the run line makes no sense, as that is way too much risk for not nearly enough return, if you need a little bit of insurance. If you to fold this into a same-game parlay, especially with a boost or promo, that's perfectly OK, but avoid straight up.
PASS for a singular play.
Over/Under
UNDER 7 (-120) is worth a look despite the fact we had a total of 9 runs in Game 2. While the game went Over, and it doesn't matter how it did, we did have a total of just 3 runs in the final 8 innings, so that speaks well for the bullpens on both sides.
The Over is 2-1 in Peralta's 3 postseason starts, but the Rays have allowed just 6 runs in those outings. The offense has come up big in those starts.
For Gasser, the Over-Under is 1-1 in his 2 postseason assignments. The Over-Under is 2-2 in 4 road playoff games for the Brewers, so there isn't much to glean there. The gut feeling is that we have a much better pitching show in Game 3.
Betting odds calculator
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow Daniel Dobish on X at @danieledobish. Follow SportsbookWire on X at SportsBookWire and on Facebook.
This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions
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