The Florida State Seminoles (4-5, 2-4 ACC) and the Pitt Panthers (6-3, 3-3) meet Friday at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let's analyze college football odds around the Florida State vs. Pitt odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions for the best bets.
Pitt leads the all-time series 7-5. The Panthers won last season's meeting 34-31 in Tallahassee. The Noles won 24-7 in the most recent visit to Pittsburgh in 2023. In fact, the road team has won the past 4 in the series, while also going 3-1 against the spread (ATS). The Over is 3-1 in those 4 meetings, too.
After coach Mike Norvell was fired following the 36-24 loss to the Clemson Tigers, dropping FSU to 3-5, a new
era began. And, in the first week under interim coach Rick Stockstill, formerly the head coach at the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders , the Seminoles went to Chestnut Hill and topped the Boston College Eagles 31-24 to cover as a 5.5-point favorite as the Over (53.5) cashed. The Over is 4-0 in the past 4 games, as the defense has allowed 147 points, or 36.8 points per game (PPG), in the span.
Pitt was humming along early in the season until QB Mason Heintschel suffered an ACL injury Oct. 2 at the Virginia Tech Hokies, ending his season. The Panthers were 5-0 in his 5 starts, and he had 1,304 passing yards, 14 TDs and 1 INT with 1 rushing score. QB Holden Geriner hasn't come close to filling those shoes, and he was just 13 of 30 for 180 yards, 1 TD and 0 INT in a 34-11 win and cover (-9.5) against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Oct. 31 last time out.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Florida State at Pitt odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:24 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Florida State +138 (bet $100 to win $138) | Pitt -166 (bet $166 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Florida State +3.5 (-115) | Pitt -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Florida State at Pitt picks and predictions
Prediction
Florida State 30, Pitt 27
Moneyline
FLORIDA STATE (+138) is worth a look as the underdogs on the road against Pitt.
The Seminoles have struggled defensively, but the Panthers aren't much better. While Pitt slams the door on the run game better than nearly everyone in the nation, allowing just 68.1 yards per game (second), it has allowed 252.6 passing yards per game. FSU can get it done through the air, as QB Ashton Daniels, while a bit erratic at times, has the tools to get the job done. And, he is more impressive than Geriner for the Panthers.
Against the spread
If you just can't bring yourself to take FLORIDA STATE +3.5 (-115) straight up, backing it with 3 and a hook isn't a bad alternative.
The Seminoles are coming off a road victory at Boston College, and they're playing with some renewed confidence and urgency after their coach was fired.
Pitt is just 1-3 ATS in the past 4 games, and it can't be trusted just because it managed to beat a bad Georgia Tech team last time out.
Over/Under
OVER 52.5 (-110) is the play based upon the recent trends for both sides.
FSU has cashed the Over in 4 straight games, averaging 27.5 PPG on offense, while allowing 36.8 PPG in the span. For Pitt, the Over has cashed in 2 of the past 3 games, averaging 22.7 PPG on offense, while coughing up 30.0 PPG. Defense should just be a suggestion on Friday night.
Betting odds calculator
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow Daniel Dobish on X at @danieledobish. Follow SportsbookWire on X at SportsBookWire and on Facebook.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Florida State Seminoles at Pitt Panthers odds, picks and predictions
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