The Baltimore Orioles (71-76) visit the Toronto Blue Jays (73-74) in the Friday opener of a 3-game series in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. The first pitch from Rogers Centre will be at 7:07 p.m. ET. Let's analyze MLB odds around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Toronto leads 4-3
Baltimore heads on the road after a 2-5 home stand from Sept. 3-9. A Wednesday triumph (-102 Orioles defeated the Cleveland Guardians 9-5, Over 8.5) marked the club's most recent game; the Orioles were idle Thursday. Eight of Baltimore's run Wednesday came in 1 inning, the third.
The Blue Jays are back at home after a Sept. 1-9 road trip that saw the club go 5-4. But Toronto is just 1-3 over its last
4 games; that stretch includes a 2-0 (Under 9.5) Wednesday loss at the +134 Athletics. That contest aside, the Jays have recently hit much better on the road than at home. Since Aug. 13, Toronto owns a .775 OPS abroad and a .690 mark north of the border.
Toronto is 1 game out of the final AL Wild Card while the Orioles are 3 back of the last spot.
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Orioles at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Max Scherzer
Bassitt (6-5, 4.96 ERA) is making his 16th start (18th appearance). He has a 1.58 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 85 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 5-0 loss vs. Boston Red Sox Saturday
- Career vs. Blue Jays (regular season): 0-1, 3.60 ERA (25 IP, 10 ER), 22 H, 3 BB, 23 K in 4 starts
Scherzer (2-7, 6.03 ERA) is making his 15th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 62 2/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 4-3 win at Kansas City Royals Saturday
- Career vs. Orioles (regular season): 7-4, 3.54 ERA (112 IP, 44 ER), 98 H, 23 BB, 135 K in 18 starts
Orioles at Blue Jays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:32 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-190) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Orioles at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 4, Blue Jays 3
Moneyline
Baltimore is 9-4 with a .760 OPS over its last 13 road games. The Orioles are 5-1 across their last 6 series openers.
Bassitt has logged better expected-ERA figures over his last 4-5 starts, and that stretch has come against a tough slate of foes. He is backed by what has been the superior bullpen over the last several weeks.
The ORIOLES (+105) are the leverage side.
Run line/Against the spread
No interest; PASS.
Over/Under
The Orioles have the better offense (Toronto sports a bottom-5 group), but the club's run scoring has been buoyed by a .316 batting average on balls in play in high-leverage situations. So peg Baltimore's 4.50 runs per game as being a tad rich.
In a series opener with back ends of bullpens reset by the off day and with the Jays being a top-notch defensive club, the UNDER 8.5 (-110) is worth a look.
Betting odds calculator
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions
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