The Buffalo Bills (6-1) and Minnesota Vikings (6-1) meet on Monday Night Football for an NFL Week 9 clash. Kickoff from U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota, is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN / ABC). Let's analyze NFL odds around the Bills vs. Vikings odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.
The Bills and Vikings meet in a crucial matchup relating to their respective divisions. Both teams need a win to keep pace near the top of the AFC East and NFC North, respectively. But these 2 head into Monday fresh off polar opposite games a week ago.
Buffalo won 36-10 against the Baltimore Ravens, led by QB Joe Fagnano. Baltimore lost their top 2 QBs in Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley very early, which allowed the Bills to cruise
in the second half for their third-straight win.
To their own credit, a Buffalo secondary that has had a rough year held Fagnano to 91 passing yards and kept RB Derrick Henry (53 yards, TD) at bay. On offense, the Bills continued their No. 1 unit pace. QB Josh Allen was 21 of 34 for 289 yards, 3 total TDs and an INT. RB James Cook had 101 scrimmage yards and a TD.
Meanwhile, the Vikings had their first stumble a week ago. Minnesota lost their first game of the year 19-15 to the Detroit Lions. The Vikings could not contain RB Jahmyr Gibbs, who put up 153 rushing yards, but otherwise continued their stout effort defensively.
The talk of the town in Minnesota this week is under center, though. QB Carson Wentz will get the nod as starter Kyler Murray is sidelined with a hamstring injury. Can Wentz provide a spark for WR Justin Jefferson and the rest of the Vikings offense?
So far this year, Buffalo is 5-2 both against the spread (ATS) and on their point totals. Minnesota is 4-3 ATS, only 1-6 against the point total, likely attributed to their defense.
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Bills vs. Vikings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:14 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Bills -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Vikings +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread (ATS): Bills -3 (-118) | Vikings +3 (-102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 44 (O: -110 | U: -108)
Bills vs. Vikings key injuries
Bills
- WR Josh Palmer (hamstring) out
- OL Alec Anderson (ankle) questionable
- OL Dion Dawkins (rib) questionable
Vikings
- WR Jauan Jennings (calf) out
- QB Kyler Murray (hamstring) out
- S Theo Jackson (quad) questionable
- S Jay Ward (knee) questionable
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Bills vs. Vikings picks and predictions
Prediction
Bills 27, Vikings 23
Moneyline
PASS.
There is not much value on the Bills (-175) on the moneyline.
Against the spread
BET BILLS (-118).
It is the unstoppable force against the immovable object between these teams. Lean toward the Bills because they just have so many ways they can muster up their way to the end zone, whether it's Allen passing it, but more than likely, it could be the ground game for Allen and Cook combined.
Buffalo does not sport a heavy hitter in the passing game for Allen to beat the Vikings' No. 1 ranked pass defense (154.9 yards per game. Minnesota is 17th against the run (116.7 YPG) and that is a difference maker.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 44 (-110).
Not only because the Bills should find their way to the end zone one way or another, but Wentz starting for Minnesota might be a blessing in disguise. He is more likely to look downfield to beat a Bills' secondary that had their numbers inflated against a third-string QB. Buffalo won't be ranked as high as the NFL's No. 24 defense (352.1 YPG) for long.
Best prop bet
Bet Vikings WR JUSTIN JEFFERSON ANYTIME TD (+160).
Again, there should be belief Wentz can beat the Bills' secondary. But Wentz has played twice already this season, including against the Green Bay Packers. He linked with Jefferson for 2 TDs that day.
Betting odds calculator
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Buffalo Bills vs. Minnesota Vikings odds, picks and predictions
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