The Minnesota Vikings (4-0) and New Orleans Saints (1-3) square off Sunday at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let's analyze NFL odds around the Vikings at Saints odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.
The Vikings needed 5 FGs to overcome the visiting winless Dolphins (+9.5) 15-10 (Under 38.5) last Sunday. Despite failing to lead the team to a TD, QB Kyler Murray had his best game as a Viking, completing 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards and 0 INTs. His favorite target was TE T.J. Hockenson, who had 13 catches for 119 yards. Hockenson, who had 9 catches for 76 yards through the team's first 3 games, had a chance to score a TD late, but chose to give himself up at the 1 so that
the Vikings could run the final 2 minutes off the clock. The Vikings held the Dolphins to 198 total yards (77 passing, 121 rushing).
Atlanta's Robinson running back combo combined for 5 TDs as the Falcons (+1.5) routed the Saints 45-24 (Over 47.5) last Monday. RB Bijan Robinson ran for 145 yards and 2 TDs on 19 carries, while his backfield mate RB Brian Robinson pitched in with 62 yards on 14 carries and scored 3 TDs. The Falcons held the Saints to 50 yards rushing and kept pressure on QB Tyler Shough all night. Shough completed 30 of 48 passes for 286 yards and was sacked twice. Saints WR Chris Olave had his third 100+ yard game of the season with 8 catches for 116 yards.
The Vikings lead the all-time series vs. the Saints 25-13 and have won three of the past four meetings. The Vikings won the last matchup 27-19 at Minnesota, on Nov. 12, 2023. Hockenson had a big game for the Vikings with 11 catches for 134 yards and 1 TD. Olave had 6 catches for 94 yards and 1 TD, while RB Alvin Kamara had 7 catches for 33 yards and ran for 42 yards on 9 carries in the loss.
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Vikings at Saints odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:10 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Vikings -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Saints +115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Vikings -2.5 (-108) | Saints +2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -108 | U: -110)
Vikings at Saints key injuries
VIKINGS
- WR Jordan Addison (hamstring) questionable
- T Christian Darrisaw (concussion) out
- CB Charles Demmings (hamstring) out
- WR Justin Jefferson (ankle) questionable
- C Michael Jurgens (elbow) questionable
- RT Brian O'Neill (knee) questionable
- TE Ben Yurosek (ankle) questionable
SAINTS
- S Julian Blackmon (shoulder) questionable
- WR/RS Barion Brown (thigh) questionable
- LB Kaden Elliss (calf) out
- LB Jaylan Ford (ankle) questionable
- EDGE Anfernee Jennings (knee) out
- RB Alvin Kamara (back) questionable
- DT Christen Miller (illness) questionable
- S Lorenzo Styles Jr. (calf) questionable
- G Jeremiah Wright (concussion) out
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Vikings at Saints picks and predictions
Prediction
Vikings 23, Saints 13
Moneyline
PASS.
I like the Vikings, but I'll go ahead and give the 2.5 points rather than taking them straight up.
Against the spread
BET VIKINGS -2.5 (-105).
The Saints offense is solid, scoring 26.3 points per game, but the defense is a sieve, allowing 32 ppg, worst in the NFL. The Vikings offense has struggled, failing to score a touchdown in two of their four victories, but they have the best scoring defense in the league, allowing 12.8 ppg.
Despite not scoring a TD last week vs. the Dolphins, the Vikings offense did show signs of life and WR Justin Jefferson is hopeful of playing. Against this Saints defense, I would expect Murray to have his best game since joining the Vikings.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 41.5 (-110).
Shough hasn't seen a defense quite like the Vikings. I think he'll struggle under the pressure, and Minnesota will keep the Saints under 20 points. The Vikings should put a couple of TDs on the board this week, but I'm not expecting them to totally go off on the Saints like the Falcons did last week.
Best prop bet
BET AARON JONES SR. 80+ RUSH YARDS (+115)
The Saints have the NFL's 30th-ranked rush defense (147.8 ypg), with last week's atrocious game vs. the Falcons sending them tumbling down the rankings. Jones has been solid if unspectacular, averaging 4.1 yards per carry. He's surpassed 80 yards rushing in two of the Vikings' four games.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints odds, picks and predictions
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