The Baltimore Ravens (3-1) and Atlanta Falcons (2-2) meet on Sunday night in Atlanta, Georgia, for a Week 5 battle. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is at 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Let's analyze NFL odds around the Ravens vs. Falcons odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.
The Ravens escaped Week 4 with a 24-18 home victory over the Tennessee Titans. Baltimore failed to cover as an 11.5-point favorite, while the Under (42.5) cashed. QB Lamar Jackson threw for 222 yards and 2 touchdowns before exiting with an ankle injury. WR Zay Flowers was his favorite target, hauling in 8 catches for 118 yards and a touchdown. RB Derrick Henry also chipped in with 73 rushing yards and a score.
The Falcons have turned things around after
an 0-2 start, winning 2 straight since QB Michael Penix Jr. returned. Atlanta rolled past NFC South rival the New Orleans Saints 45-24 on Monday Night Football, winning outright as a 1.5-point road underdog while the Over (47.5) cashed. The Falcons dominated on the ground, rushing for 205 yards and 5 touchdowns. RB Bijan Robinson led the charge with 145 yards and 2 scores, while RB Brian Robinson Jr. added 62 yards and 3 touchdowns.
Baltimore has had Atlanta's number lately, winning and covering 3 straight meetings against the Falcons. The Ravens took the most recent matchup 17-9 at home on Dec. 24, 2022, covering as 6.5-point favorites while the Under (35) cashed.
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Ravens at Falcons odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:20 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Ravens +145 (bet $100 to win $150) | Falcons -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Ravens +3 (-102) | Falcons -3 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -108)
Ravens at Falcons injuries
Ravens
- WR Zay Flowers (foot) questionable
- LB Trey Hendrickson (finger) out
- CB Marlon Humphrey (hamstring,calf) questionable
- QB Lamar Jackson (ankle) out
- C Cam Jurgens (concussion) out
- OG Andrew Vorhees (foot) questionable
Falcons
- LB Yasir Abdullah (hamstring) out
- LB Divine Deablo (hamstring) questionable
- DE Samson Ebukam (hamstring) questionable
- OT Jake Matthews (groin) questionable
- DE Za'Darius Smith (concussion, neck) out
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Ravens at Falcons picks and predictions
Prediction
Falcons 21, Ravens 17
Moneyline
PASS.
I think the Falcons (-175) cement the game late and get the big win on Sunday night, which is why I'll take my bet to the spread.
Against the spread
BET FALCONS -3 (-118).
Atlanta enters Sunday night riding a 2-game winning streak, while Baltimore is dealing with injuries at several key positions. Jackson has been ruled out and QB Tyler Huntley will get the start against one of the NFL's toughest defenses.
The Ravens also have multiple injuries along their offensive line, which could be a major problem against an Atlanta defense that leads the league in run defense and quarterback pressures. Baltimore ranks sixth in scoring, but maintaining that production without Jackson will be a tall order.
Meanwhile, the Falcons have found their rhythm offensively since Penix returned. Atlanta rushed for 205 yards and 5 touchdowns against New Orleans last week, with Bijan leading the way.
Baltimore's defense should provide a tougher challenge, but Atlanta's strong ground game and ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks give the Falcons a significant advantage at home.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 43.5 (-108).
Baltimore's offense faces a tough challenge with Jackson sidelined and Huntley starting. Atlanta leads the NFL in run defense, allowing just 48.3 rushing yards per game and 2.7 yards per carry, making things difficult for Henry. The Falcons also rely heavily on their ground game, which should help control the clock. With both teams likely leaning on the run, scoring opportunities could be limited Sunday night.
Best prop bet
RAVENS WR ZAY FLOWERS 75+ RECEIVING YARDS (+115).
Flowers has been Baltimore's most reliable receiving threat, topping 75 yards in 3 games this season, including 8 catches for 118 yards against Tennessee last week. With Jackson sidelined, Huntley could lean heavily on Flowers through quick throws and shorter routes against Atlanta's aggressive pass rush. The 2 have familiarity from their time together in Baltimore, which should help their chemistry. Flowers is dealing with a foot injury, but his production remains encouraging.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions
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